Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 15
Which Premier League matches offer betting value for this week on Soccer odd? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth
Bournemouth to win +240
Draw +240
Bournemouth and Crystal Palace have performed at a similar level so far this season, with Palace two points ahead of Bournemouth in the standings but three goals behind on goal difference. WhoScored.com has Bournemouth ranked 11th while Palace is ranked 14th.
Palace is favored due to their home field advantage, but they are a poor 2-2-3 at home so far this season for a 28.5% win rate. Even dating back to last year, Palace were 5-5-9 at home for a 26.3% win rate, so they have been winning home matches at less than a 30% clip for the past season and a half.
The odds for Bournemouth +1 (no push) are -145, but you can get better odds by betting Bournemouth to win and Bournemouth to draw separately at +240. If you bet half of a unit on both a Bournemouth win and a draw, then you essentially get +120 odds on a Bournemouth draw/win, which is a great value play.
Wolves vs. West Ham
Draw +270
Wolves have gotten off to an impressive start this season, and they are in sixth place with 20 points from 14 matches. However, at 4-8-2, they have been extremely susceptible to ties, including four ties in their seven home games so far this season.
West Ham are four points behind Wolves in the table, and while they are away from home, they do benefit from having an extra day of rest, which could be critical in a mid-week fixture.
The extra day of rest should help negate the small advantage held by Wolves from a talent and home field perspective, so a draw appears to be the most likely result from this matchup.
Liverpool vs. Everton
Liverpool to win -280
This game is a complete mismatch in Liverpool’s favor, especially with the game being played at Anfield. Liverpool are 13-1-0 in the league this season, and they are 24-2-0 at home in the past two years, good enough for a 92.3% win rate. Their only draws came last season against Manchester City (1st place) and Leicester City (9th place).
In this matchup, Liverpool face an Everton team that is 4-2-8 with a -8 goal differential. The Toffees sit 17th in the table and have only earned four points in seven away games to start the year.
Liverpool’s implied odds to win are only 73.7% despite the Reds winning at over a 90% clip in home games from the past two seasons. Jurgen Klopp’s side should have no issue winning this match and continuing their remarkable run of play as they steamroll through the EPL.
