FanDuel Premier League Trends to Know for Matchweek 14
The next Premier League main slate hits FanDuel at 10:00 a.m. EST on Saturday. Due to the single game on Monday the slate was not live at the time of writing, but should feature five matches. Three of the five matches have a clear favorite.
|Saturday, November 30|
|Crystal Palace at Burnley|
|West Ham at Chelsea|
|Brighton at Liverpool|
|Bournemouth at Tottenham|
|Watford at Southampton|
Let's look at the teams and players that are rising and falling this week.
Burnley have back-to-back 3-0 wins and now face a Crystal Palace team that struggled mightily through a tough stretch against some of the top teams in the league. Burnley's wins came against two struggling teams, West Ham and Watford, but three goals is an outburst for Burnley. Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood have scored in both matches and should continue to lead the line for Burnley. Crystal Palace now allow over 14 shots per game and have allowed two goals in each of the last three matches. Burnley are not heavy favorites, but have a 43.5% implied win probability, which is 13% higher than Palace. Burnley have played six games at home and have won four, all of which have been shut outs.
Player: Son Heung-min, Tottenham
Son had his red card against Everton rescinded and is making the most of his time on the field. He has four goals in the Premier League with two of those coming in the last two matchweeks. He also scored two goals in the Champions League Group Stage match three weeks ago. He has added three assists over the last four games across all competitions. Son has recorded 16 shots with eight on target over the last three matchweeks. Tottenham have taken points from each of the last three games and recorded their first Premier League win since September 28 last week. Tottenham are heavy favorites this week with Bournemouth on a two-game losing slide. Simon Francis accumulated two yellow cards last week and will be unavailable for Bournemouth.
There are not many teams in the league that would be consider quality opponents against Liverpool, but Brighton are on a two-game slide as well. Liverpool have won the last four Premier League matches against Brighton by a combined score of 11-1. Despite having more possession last week against second-place Leicester, Brighton were dominated. They had no shots on target and were out shot by 12. Brighton had nine fouls and two yellow cards. They are now sixth in the league in fouls committed per match, just one foul off the top spot. Brighton do play tough, but they are trending in the wrong direction facing the top team in the league.
Player: Ryan Fredericks, West Ham
West Ham's other outside back, Aaron Cresswell, as well as the left side of the attack have been playing much better than Fredericks and the right side. Fredericks recorded his fourth yellow card of the season last week, meaning one more will result in a suspension. In his 12 appearances in the Premier League this season he fails to average even a single interception. He now averages under six defensive actions per match on a team that is often on the back foot. Fredericks has been unable to stand up to the constant pressure he is facing and it does not help that the two players closest to him in the formation, Andriy Yarmolenko and Issa Diop, are not backing up Fredericks when the opponent has the ball. Fredericks is a defender first but the team is suffering and Fredericks has not been able to elevate his game play in that climate.
Doug Smith is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Doug Smith also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username aquemini03. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.