FanDuel Premier League Value Plays for Matchweek 11
Value plays are often the difference on the FanDuel leaderboard. With this year's format, value plays will be priced at $12 or lower in most cases. There will be some exceptions along the way.
This article will cover FanDuel's main slate that begins Saturday at 11:00 a.m. EST.
|Saturday, November 2|
|Burnley at Sheffield United|
|Liverpool at Aston Villa|
|Southampton at Manchester City|
|Norwich City at Brighton|
|Newcastle at West Ham|
|Wolverhampton at Arsenal|
|Chelsea at Watford|
Four Manchester City players sit atop the salary list, with Raheem Sterling ($24) leading the way. Trent Alexander-Arnold and David Luiz ($16) are tied for the highest-priced defender. Ederson and Bernd Leno ($15) are tied at the top of the keeper list.
Let's see where the value lies in Matchweek 11.
Dwight McNeil, Burnley ($12)
McNeil got off to a slow start this season, but he found the net last week and had his best game of the year. He had been showing signs of improvement in recent weeks, having created at least one chance in three of the past four matches prior to the game against Chelsea. The match against Chelsea was the first in six games in which McNeil did not record at least one tackle and the first in three in which he did not register at least one interception and clearance. The defensive stats are a bonus for McNeil as his value comes on the offensive end as he's usually racing down the Burnley left side. McNeil now averages over two successful dribbles per game as he grows more confident with the ball at his feet this season.
Romain Saiss, Wolverhampton ($11)
Saiss is coming off his second-best game of the season after creating two chances against Newcastle. He added six clearances, which is a category he has excelled in this season, going only one game without at least one clearance. He has been solid defensively when given a chance to start this campaign, so the offensive contribution is icing on the cake. His FanDuel average is up over 13 points. With Arsenal holding nearly 10% more possession than Wolves on average, Saiss should be able to at least hit his season average with his defensive contributions. He averages five clearances over the last three games, and he should be needed to at least match that number against an Arsenal team that scored five against Liverpool midweek.
Alexander Tettey, Norwich ($10)
Tettey is the high-risk play in this group, but he looks likely to line up in the middle of a five-man midfield. Norwich are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches against Brighton in all competitions. There have been over 2.5 goals in Brighton's last three games, so hopefully Tettey can get involved given the trends. He appeared in the last two games after missing nearly a month of action and had his best game of the season last week. In that one, Tettey recorded 10 defensive actions against Manchester United. Brighton and Manchester United have similar possession numbers, which could allow Tettey to be active defensively again, but Norwich also give up 13 shots per game, nearly four more than Manchester United. Norwich and Tettey should find a little more opportunity offensively than last week.
Frederic Guilbert, Aston Villa ($12)
Villa is in a tough stretch of games, facing the top two teams in the league in back-to-back matches. Guilbert performed well last week against Manchester City and even created one chance against a great attacking team that usually owns possession. In fact, he has four straight games with a chance created. Liverpool are similar to City with their strong attacking play and will have more top-choice players in their lineup than they did against Arsenal in cup play midweek. Guilbert also contributed defensively last week with four tackles, two interceptions, and five clearances. He has scored at least 17 points in four of his last six games. The 24-year-old is averaging over seven defensive actions per match.
Dejan Lovren, Liverpool ($9)
Lovren likely keeps his place in the starting lineup with Joel Matip dealing with a knee injury. Lovren has started just two Premier League games, but he has scored over 15 FanDuel points in each of them. He was credited with five clearances last week against Tottenham after registering seven in his other start against Leicester City. Lovren started in the 4-1 Champions League win against Genk and recorded four defensive actions with a 92% pass success rate despite the back line not being tested much. Liverpool are heavily favored in this match, with the top final score odds predicting a clean sheet for the Reds. Lovren provides cheaper exposure to the possible clean sheet bonus for Liverpool defenders.
Kieran Tierney, Arsenal ($8)
Speaking of cheaper exposure to the back line of a team that has good odds of a clean sheet, enter Tierney from Arsenal. Much like Tettey, Tierney is the wild card as he has started only one Premier League game. He has seen action in the Europa League, though, with both of his matches being wins for Arsenal. One of those matches was a clean sheet, and Tierney had an assist in each game, as well. He is an offensive-minded defender who did create one chance in his only Premier League start. Last season in the Europa League for Celtic, he averaged four crosses per match. Tierney had at least four assists in his last four seasons with Celtic in the domestic league. If he's in there, he will look for chances to make runs and help provide for his attacking teammates this weekend against Wolves.
Nick Pope, Burnley ($10)
Pope has had two very bad weeks, but they've come against two of the strongest offensive teams in the league. He gave up a combined six goals while making four saves against Leicester and Chelsea. Both of those teams have scored at least 23 goals this year. Burnley's opponent this week, Sheffield United, has scored just nine goals. Sheffield have not scored more than one goal in their last four games. Southampton have also scored only nine goals this season, and Pope registered a clean sheet in that matchup. Pope has 30 saves and three clean sheets this season with a save percentage inching toward 70%. He should rebound against a less-potent team.
Martin Dubravka, Newcastle ($9)
Dubravka still averages over 10 FanDuel points per game despite Newcastle's struggles this season. The match against West Ham is expected to be low scoring as the Hammers have struggled over their last three. West Ham have netted just 12 goals so far this season and have scored only twice across the last three matches. Both of Dubravka's wins this season have been clean sheets, and he also registered a 0-0 draw against Brighton. He has 10 saves over the last two matches and has two more saves than Pope on the season, tying him for fourth in the league. Normally the Newcastle keeper would not be a viable option, but West Ham's struggles allow for a look at Dubravka on Saturday.
Doug Smith is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Doug Smith also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username aquemini03. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.