FanDuel Premier League Trends to Know for Matchweek 11
The next Premier League main slate hits FanDuel at 11:00 a.m. EST on Saturday and features seven matches. The slate expands after last weekend's minimal slate and has a clear favorite in all but one game. This is despite teams playing in the Carabao Cup in the middle of the week.
|Saturday, November 2|
|Burnley at Sheffield|
|Liverpool at Aston Villa|
|Southampton at Manchester City|
|Norwich City at Brighton|
|Newcastle at West Ham|
|Wolverhampton at Arsenal|
|Chelsea at Watford|
Let's look at the teams and players that are rising and falling this week.
Teams: Manchester City and Chelsea
Chelsea was on this post last week and kept the hot streak going extending their winning ways to four straight. They join Manchester City as the only teams on the slate with at least two wins in a row, including league leader Liverpool. Both City and Chelsea have scored five goals combined in their past two games. City have not allowed a goal in that time either. City will also have a second match in five days against a Southampton team that just loss 9-0 with City having a 92% implied win percentage. Chelsea are only sitting at 61%, but they face the last place team. After the top four teams in the standings, the last few weeks have been tumultuous in the Premier League. Matchups and form say City and Chelsea should stay hot.
Player: Roberto Firmino, Liverpool ($17)
Firmino has earned more FanDuel points each game for the past four and has a good matchup against Villa coming up. He has been more active defensively over the last two weeks to add to his points total, but Villa will struggle to gain possession given season averages. He should be fully involved in the Liverpool attack and his offensive numbers of late have been encouraging. The Brazilian has five shots on goal in the past two games. Firmino has created at least one chance in six of his last seven games. Villa struggled against another top attacking team last week, Manchester City, and allowed a total of 26 shots with 10 on target. Honorable mention to USMNT player Christian Pulisic ($16), who is coming off his first hat trick for club or country.
Is there anywhere else to go with this after Leicester beat Southampton 9-0 last weekend? It was the biggest away win in Premier League history and only the second time a game in the league finished 9-0. Ryan Bertrand was sent off early in the game and everything unraveled. Southampton have allowed at least three goals in three of the last five games and now sit in the relegation zone. The loss had to be demoralizing, but the team did make some good from it as they donated salaries from the game to charity. Southampton allow over 13 shots per game and will face the highest-scoring team in the league this weekend. Bertrand will be unavailable this weekend and it appears another defender, Cedric Soares, is still unavailable. It could be another long day for the Saints.
Player: Ashley Barnes, Burnley ($14)
August 25 was the last time that Barnes scored more than 10 FanDuel points. His highest total in his last five appearances was last week when he scored 9.3. He did lead the team in shots last week, but Barnes' finishing has left much to be desired. The only consistency Barnes has shown is in drawing fouls as he has drawn at least two in each of the last three matches. However, he has created two chances all season for Burnley showing that he feeds off his teammates, who have not been finding the striker. Burnley does average over a goal per match and have been shut out only once in the last five. However, Barnes has not been the focus of the attack.
Doug Smith is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Doug Smith also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username aquemini03. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.