Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 7
Using FanDuel Sportsbook as the source for lines, let's take a look at some bets you should zero in on this week.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
Wolves vs Watford
Wolves to win -115
Wolves and Watford have both gotten off to dreadful starts this season, but there have been different levels of their ineptitude early in the season.
Watford are 0W-2D-4L with a -14 goal differential, and they have embarrassing home losses to Brighton (3-0) and West Ham (3-1) on their resume as well as an 8-0 beatdown at the hands of Manchester City from last weekend. The Hornets have been outclassed for most of the season, and they would have a difficult time against anyone, especially in an away match.
Wolves are only a slight favorite in this game because they are actually the second-worst team in the EPL so far this year at 0-4-2. However, even though the gap between these two in the standings is only one spot, Wolves have been much better than Watford this season (ahead 10 goals on goal difference) and should be able to secure all three points at home.
Crystal Palace vs Norwich
Norwich +1 (no push) -115
Crystal Palace had an impressive 2-1 win at Old Trafford earlier this season, but aside from that, they have not impressed. Palace is a mediocre 2-2-2 overall, and one of those wins was at home against a 10-man Aston Villa side. Even dating back to last season, Palace were not a very good home side (5-5-9), winning only 26% of their home games.
Newly promoted Norwich are not a dominant side by any stretch but they definitely have some quality as they defeated European giants Manchester City just two weeks ago. Norwich are 2-0-4 to start the year, but they have faced a brutal schedule that included games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea.
This game projects to be an evenly matched battle, and given the odds, Norwich to win or draw is a smart play.
Aston Villa vs Burnley
Burnley +1 (no push) -165
Newly promoted Aston Villa have only mustered up one victory on this young season, and their performance the last two weeks has been particularly alarming. Two weeks ago, Villa was unable to secure a win at home against West Ham despite being up a man for the last 20-plus minutes, and then last week, they blew a 2-1 lead to Arsenal despite being up a man for the entire second half.
On the other side, Burnley are 2-2-2 this season, with their only two losses coming to Liverpool and away to Arsenal. They are sitting in 9th place at the moment, and it appears they may be on track to a similar season as their seventh-place finish from two years ago.
Another factor in Burnley's favor is that Aston Villa has given up more shots per game (18.5) than any team in the league this season, and they have already given up nine goals on the year. With Burnley looking like a competitive mid-table team this campaign, it is hard to see Villa coming out with a win.