DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for Matchweek 4
Matchweek 4 is the last week before the first international break of the season, and DraftKings has a six-match main slate, with every game starting 10:00 a.m. Eastern.
The match that stands out at an initial glance is Manchester City hosting Brighton, with City sitting as massive favorites. When you have a team in such a good spot, the key will be to decide how many players you want or need from that team in your lineup, which ones are best and how to fit in other value plays around them to make your lineup work.
So let's look at the Man City players you want to prioritize and other interesting ways to fill out your lineup.
Forwards to Target
Sergio Aguero ($9,800): Coming in at a price tag of $1,000 cheaper than teammate Raheem Sterling and $500 less than Riyad Mahrez, Aguero actually has the best scoring odds on his team, per FanDuel Sportsbook, and normally will take penalty kicks. Aguero is usually a goal-dependent forward who might have a low floor. However, he was third in the Premier League in shots last year, and given the matchup, it's likely Manchester City dominates possession and create tons of chances. Aguero is a safe play in this spot with hat-trick upside.
Wesley ($5200): Wesley opened his Aston Villa goal scoring account last week in the win over Everton, and he now gets to face Crystal Palace away from home. Aston Villa come in as +240 underdogs, but they aren't nearly the long shot that teams like Bournemouth, Sheffield United or Brighton are this week. There isn't another forward this low in price who is in a reasonable matchup and is more likely to score than Wesley is. He also provided 10 assists last year while playing in Belgium, so he can offer some value without necessarily scoring a goal himself.
Midfielders to Target
Kevin De Bruyne ($9,900): The Belgian attacking midfielder has had a blistering start to the season for Manchester City. In three games, he's put in 25 crosses and has 18 shot assists, which, of course, are now worth a point on DraftKings. He has taken 15 of Man City's 19 corners so far this season, so the headache of trying to figure who will take corner kicks for them is likely over. We already know that Manchester City is the team we want players from, and there is no one you should want more than KDB. He has the safest floor on this slate and also has upside for multiple assists like he did against Tottenham in Matchweek 2. His $9,900 dollar price tag is actually reasonable considering Willian is at $10,100 and has yet to show much of anything this season and doesn't have nearly the same floor-ceiling combination.
Emiliano Buendía ($7,400): Buendía has been turning heads in his first three games in the Premier League with Norwich City. He's provided two assists and 16 crosses so far and has taken all 10 of Norwich's corner kicks. His Canaries are away to West Ham in a match that probably won't scare them off of using the attacking style as we've seen in previous matches. Whether that works out for them in terms of survival this campaign remains to be seen, but for fantasy purposes, it makes Norwich's fixtures good matches to target. Buendía at $7,400 is a nice price, and his floor is probably the safest bet in his price range.
Oliver Norwood ($5,500): Norwood is a set-piece specialist for Sheffield United, who visit Chelsea as the second-biggest underdogs on the slate. This isn't the same Chelsea that we have seen in past years, however. They've conceded seven goals in their three league games this year and rank ninth in terms of possession. Norwood has at least nine DraftKings points in every game this season and has done it without scoring a goal or recording an assist. If he can deliver an assist on a corner kick or fire in a free kick for a goal, he will definitely pay off his modest price.
Philip Billing ($3,900): Billing became a darling of DraftKings soccer players last season due to his ability to score fantasy points out of seemingly nothing. Playing for lowly Huddersfield, he was often required to defend for his team's life and did reasonably well. He averaged 2.7 tackles and 2.0 interceptions per game, according to WhoScored.com. Now with Bournemouth, Billing is playing in the same role. He could rack up interceptions and tackles Saturday in a match as away underdogs to Leicester City. He is a punt option and someone you hope can have a game like he did in Matchweek 1, when he did a bit of everything and getting 10.9 DraftKings points. If you're going with a stars-and-scrubs approach and loading up on Man City, Billing makes a lot of sense.
Defenders to Target
José Holebas ($5,400): Holebas is a target almost every week because of his role as Watford's main corner taker. He had the fifth-most corners in the Premier League last season and ranks second this season. He gets a juicy matchup this week against Newcastle, who are dead last in the Premier League in possession, averaging just 37.3% of the ball in their three matches. Newcastle's win last week over Tottenham was because the Magpies went back to a very defensive style and let Tottenham have the ball. If this happens again, look for Watford and Holebas to rack up the crosses in this game.
Frederic Guilbert ($3,500): If you need to punt in one of your defender spots, Frederic Guilbert of Aston Villa is a reasonable choice. Guilbert is playing as a full-back, which is mainly what we want when selecting a defender on DraftKings. He made his Villa debut last week against Everton and contributed in both the defensive and attacking aspects of the game. He intercepted three passes and, according to his statistical profile on WhoScored, this has been a strength of his play over the last two seasons. The profile also says that he likes to cross, so perhaps the two crosses he had in his first game will be on the low side of what we can expect from him.