Questions
Jose Tagle
Who should I keep for this season?
Allen Robinson, Jay Ajai, Tom Brady, or Jeremy Langford? Also, no picks are sacrificed and anyone picked at the 8th round or later qualifies as a keeper pick. League is also non PPR
Yes, reports on Ajayi are good and it looks like he will have plenty of opportunity. But, we only got a tease of that last year and are really guessing on his projections for this year. Robinson, on the other hand, put up 80 rec, 1400 yds, 14 tds. While he may not reach those totals this year, I feel pretty safe with a 80/1200/10 floor because he is a huge target at 6'3", 215 lb, and his ceiling is obviously much higher.
Early in drafts, we want safety with upside. That is Robinson. Ajayi has the potential to be a Top-5 back in a best case scenario with his anticipated workload, but his potential floor is much lower because we still need proof on the field.
Look at it another way - who are you less likely to have a chance to draft once you keep the other guy? A-Rob will get snapped right up and you will lose him for sure if you don't draft early, whereas Ajayi has a much better chance of getting back to you, possibly with another player you can nab before him.