Questions
JJ Zachariason
Where would you draft Doug Martin next year?
Clearly there's a lot of time until then, but as of today, where would you take Doug Martin in fantasy?
Martin has a lot of upside, but he has a lot of question marks too. Due to his high cost and potentially high reward, he is a guy that could make or break your playoff chances right out of the gates. I think that I would take him with my second round pick (anywhere in the round) and I would make Mike James a high priority mid round acquisition. I am wary though, and I won't be investing in him in every draft. Most likely, I will end up taking Martin if he makes it back to me in the second and I was able to secure a relatively "safe" RB with my first round pick.
Steve brought up some valid points as to the question marks surrounding him. I believe that he is going to be in a time share. Even if he's the main guy in that time share he still won't come close to his rookie numbers. Plus since he only has one full healthy season in the NFL that is still a question mark. Like Steve said, he is high risk high reward. But I don't want a high risk RB in the 2nd round, even if the potential payoff is there (Though I don't believe he will be putting up 1st round numbers in a timeshare).
To me you should still "know what you are getting" with your second round pick. If it comes down to it in the 2nd round I'd rather go with a top end WR and take my chances in the 3rd round at RB than grab Martin. I would put Martin's risk/reward somewhere around the same area as Spiller, Matthews, or Rice (if he isn't suspended any games). And I think these are guys you can get in the 3rd round