What It Means:

Smith hasn't been quite as bad as his 14-15-6 record and 2.83 goals-against average may indicate this season, evidenced by a .918 save percentage that is his best mark since the 2011-2012.

Our models project Smith for 28.7 saves, 2.6 goals against and a 38.0 percent chance of scoring a win tonight -- making him our eighth-ranked fantasy goalie out of the 16 starters in action Thursday.