What It Means:

Pavelec was called up from the AHL on Tuesday, and will be making his first NHL start of the season tonight. He posted a .904 save percentage and 2.78 goals-against average in 33 games last season.

Our models project Pavelec for only 21.8 saves, but 2.3 goals against and a 60.0 percent chance of scoring a win, making him our eighth-ranked fantasy goalie among the day's 10 starters.