What It Means:

Ward has been a mixed bag over his last 10 games played, putting up a 3-3-3 record, with 23 goals allowed and a .911 save percentage. However, Monday presents a favorable home start against the 26th-ranked offense in the NHL. The Red Wings have averaged only 2.31 goals in their 32 games this season.

Our models have Ward pegged for 17.9 fantasy points on Monday, with a 53.0 percent chance of winning, while projecting him to stop 23.8-of-25.9 shots faced -- making him our third-best goalie option.