What It Means:

Greiss won two of his four October starts, turning in a 2.28 goals against average and .925 save percentage. He surrendered one score on 34 shots in a 5-1 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday. He draws a Tampa Bay squad averaging 2.89 goals per game.

Greiss is projected to give up 2.35 goals on 28.31 shot attempts versus the Lightning, based on numberFire's models. We give him a 46.0 percent chance of earning a victory.