NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Monday 12/5/22
NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.
Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters. Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.
Let's jump in and take a look at today's slate and some players to consider for your lineups.
Goalie to Target
Alexandar Georgiev ($8,400): The Colorado Avalanche are looking to bounce back after a loss and have a favorable matchup to do so versus the Philadelphia Flyers tonight. The Avs are -194 road favorites and have strong win equity tonight, vaulting Georgiev at the top of the list.
This season, the Avs are allowing 1.99 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the fifth-best in the league. They've been an elite defensive team all year, and that shouldn't be changing tonight against the Flyers, who come in scoring only 2.13 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, putting them as the fifth-worst team in the league. Georgiev has four wins over his last five starts and should be able to continue that tonight.
High-Salaried Skaters
Elias Pettersson ($9,600): Pettersson and the Vancouver Canucks have a 3.77 implied goal total tonight and are in a great spot to exceed that versus the Montreal Canadiens. Pettersson has been piling up the fantasy points recently, coming in with 11 NHL points, 36 shots on goal, and 11 blocked shots in his last 10 games.
He continues to be the main driver of the Canucks' offense, which is scoring the 11th most (2.62) goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations. The matchup against the Habs is a great one since their defense -- or lack thereof -- is allowing the seventh-most (2.90) goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations. Pettersson will continue to see time on the second forward line and the first power-play unit, putting him in a spot for a multi-point performance tonight.
Nathan MacKinnon ($10,300): The Avalanche have a 3.45 implied goal total tonight against the Flyers and are absolutely a team you should be considering tonight. The Flyers come in with a 61.91 Corsi Against (Total Shot Attempts Allowed), which is the fourth-worst in the league. This should put MacKinnon in a spot to do what he does best -- put pucks on net.
Over his 10 games, MacKinnon has 56 shots on goal along with 12 NHL points. The consistent volume of shots he has on a nightly basis is tough to match and gives him a very high floor of fantasy points. If you can afford to stack him with Mikko Rantanen ($9,900), you grab some power-play correlation and have access to a very high ceiling of points.
Value Skaters
Andrew Mangiapane ($4,500): The Calgary Flames have a slate-high 3.80 implied goal total tonight and should be viable in all formats. They have a super soft matchup against the Arizona Coyotes, who are in the bottom seven of the league in goals allowed (2.91) and Corsi Against (60.03), both per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations. The Yotes are going to be a team we attack all season -- tonight being no different.
Mangiapane comes in with 6 NHL points, 19 shots on goal, and 3 blocked shots in his last 10 games. He got off to a slow start this season but might be turning the corner on offense, and a favorable matchup against the Coyotes could certainly help him continue the scoring. He skates on the second forward line and the second power-play unit, which is a great role for a player at only $4,500.
Evan Bouchard ($5,700): Bouchard is the defender on the first power-play unit for the Edmonton Oilers, which gets you some lower-salaried exposure to Connor McDavid ($10,600) and Leon Draisaitl ($10,200). The Oilers have a 3.54 implied goal total tonight and are always capable of blowing past that due to their offense, and that means they should be a team to target.
Over his last 10 games, Bouchard is doing a bit of everything, coming in with 3 goals, 3 assists, 24 shots on goal, and 9 blocked shots. He holds very clear point-per-dollar value along with some offensive upside due to the role he plays on the power play.
