NHL
Fantasy Hockey: Changing on the Fly, Volume 11
Jarome Iginla has regressed this year. Is there any hope for a better second half?

Here we are, once again: Changing on the Fly, Volume 11. No long intro this week, I'll just get right into it.

In case you are new here and missed January 11, 2015

Anyone have any good “Kingssing disease” jokes? … I’ll show myself the door.

Drop/Sell Cam Fowler, D – Anaheim Ducks (77%)

Add Cam Fowler to the list of underperforming defensemen, especially on the power play. He has only five assists, has yet to score a goal with the man-advantage, and is getting fewer shooting opportunities than in past years.

5-on-4 Points/60Shots/60iCorsi/60
2014-151.807.2118.62
2013-143.239.9721.57
2012-134.0312.7721.51
2011-122.098.9920.27

To compound the problem, Fowler has lost a good portion of his power play time to Sami Vatanen, who plays over a minute more per game than Fowler. Fowler is still on pace for 40 points, so perhaps you could peddle Fowler off to another owner who seem him as a buy-low candidate, but unless there is a change in Anaheim, don’t expect a lot of power play points that are going to help your fantasy hockey team.

Buy/Add Brandon Dubinsky, C/LW – Columbus Blue Jackets (63%)

At first glance, Brandon Dubinsky’s numbers are underwhelming; he has only two goals and eight assists on the season; he didn’t score his first goals until notching two on last Sunday against the Colorado Avalanche. But it is important to remember that Dubinsky missed the first two months to recover from abdominal surgery, so you must take into account his per game production.

SeasonGamesPointsPoints/GamePIM/GameHits/Game
2014-1514100.712.212.50
2013-1476500.663.082.49
2012-1329200.692.211.72
2011-1277340.442.691.82
2010-1177540.701.832.62

Since returning, Dubinsky hasn’t missed a beat and has integrated himself back into the Blue Jackets lineup. Perhaps an owner in your league looks at Dubinsky’s raw numbers and undervalues what he actually brings to the table.

Drop Andrei Markov, D – Montreal Canadiens (72%)

It isn’t that Andrei Markov is a poor fantasy hockey defenseman -- he isn’t. He is just fine. He currently ranks 31st amongst defensemen with 21 points and 21st in power play points; those numbers put him right in the category of “useful” for fantasy hockey purposes.

My problem with Markov this week is that the Habs play only two games: a Tuesday game against Tampa Bay and a Saturday night match against Pittsburgh. There isn’t a lot of opportunity for Markov to contribute this week.

If you are in a rotisserie league with a games-played limit (typically 82) or in deep league where more than 40 defensemen are rostered, hold on to Markov. If you are in either a weekly or daily head-to-head league with 10 or fewer teams, you’ll probably gain more by streaming defensemen into his roster spot this week and the rest of the season than you will lose long term by dropping Markov. The drop off between an Andrei Markov and a waiver wire defenseman (in a 10-team league) isn’t a big one; go for quantity over quality in this case.

Add Ben Scrivens, G – Edmonton Oilers (31%)

I’m almost in shock; I am recommending an Edmonton goaltender. But since Christmas, the Oilers’ goaltender has been performing splendidly and has started to turn a corner on what has been otherwise a frustrating season.

Ben ScrivensMinutesMinutesGoals AgainstGAASv%
First 24 games1412606763.230.889
Last 6 Games361170121.990.934
Season1773776882.980.898

Ben Scrivens is not a “1” or “1a” fantasy goalie, but if you need an option to reach a minimum starts limit, or if your league relies heavily on counting stats, such as saves, Scrivens could be available to you and a decent option.

Add Bryan Bickell, LW – Chicago Blackhawks (3%)

The Chicago Blackhawks have the best schedule in the league this week. They play four games: Colorado (Tuesday), at Minnesota (Thursday), at Edmonton (Friday), Minnesota (Sunday). Adding any Blackhawks this week would be advantageous to your fantasy hockey squad, but most are unavailable; even Brandon Saad and Brad Richards have over 50% ownership in Yahoo! leagues.

Both Andrew Shaw and Bryan Bickell, however, are sitting on waiver wires, and both are viable streaming options, depending on your positional needs and league makeup. Given the choice, Bickell is the better option; he is leading the team with 98 hits and has been on somewhat of a hot streak with seven points in his last seven games. Both he and Shaw are getting power play time, although Bickell has had an advantage in the linemate department recently as he has been paired with Brad Richards and Patrick Kane versus Shaw’s skating with Teuvo Teravainen and Patrick Sharp on the Hawks’ third line.

Oh #blackhawkproblems. Can I just draft them as my whole fantasy squad?

Hold Tommy Wingels, RW – San Jose Shark (39%)

“Fool me once, shame on...shame on you. Fool me -- you can't get fooled again.” Yet here he is again, Tommy Wingels. Full disclosure, I own him in my main league, and I’ve had a hard time letting go. Every week I say to myself that this is the time -- and yet he is still on my roster.

Wingels did score a goal Tuesday against the Wild, but that is not the main reason to hold on to him this week. The Sharks play four games this week, including both Monday and Tuesday, so Wingels will again get his opportunities to disappoint. If your league counts hits, Wingels is still a productive option, as he ranks second in the league in the category. Right now Wingels isn’t scoring but is playing with Logan Couture and Patrick Marleau, so don’t “misunderestimate” him just yet. He could pick up.

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