NHL Betting Guide: Monday 11/8/21
Just three games are on tap for this Monday NHL slate, but let's see if we can find some value in the betting market.
Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.
Under 6 Goals (-118) 2-Star Rating Out of 5
The Toronto Maple Leafs did not get off to a strong start to the season and were in a bit of a funk that caused some panic in the hockey-crazed city of Toronto. Some of it goes back to the playoff disappointment as well. The team has mostly straightened the ship but have been playing a slightly different style this season.
Toronto is not the same high-flying team we saw a few years ago, despite having some star power at forward. They are only 21st in goals per 60 minutes this season. They have been playing better defense with a better structure, as they have allowed the eighth-fewest shot attempts against per 60.
The Los Angeles Kings have been playing low-event hockey for years, even back when they were Stanley Cup contenders. They have allowed sixth-fewest shot attempts per 60, and as usual, have had trouble scoring goals for themselves. They've scored the ninth-fewest goals per 60 minutes currently.
The goaltending matchup is interesting from both sides. Jonathan Quick is not the goalie he once was, but he's been decent to start the year, with a .916 save percentage. In the other net, will be Jack Campbell, his former understudy, with the Kings. Campbell currently ranks fourth in goals saved above expected and gets his first crack at his former team tonight.
Maple Leafs' games have gone under six goals in eight of 12 games this season, while Kings' games have been under six in eight of 11 games. The Kings' style doesn't really allow for track-meet games where both teams are going up and down the ice. This should help us cash on the under, even if Toronto is a big favorite to win the game.
Our model gives this a two-star rating, making it the best bet on the board on Monday.