NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 12/3/19
A good chunk of you played daily fantasy football this year, and I'd be willing to bet a significant portion of you have also tried out daily fantasy basketball and baseball. But hockey? Hockey?
It's time to give it a try over on FanDuel because it's a ton of fun.
Our analysis and projections can help you win. To help, let's take a look at some goalies, high-priced skaters, and lower-priced players to target for today's slate.
Goalie to Target
Thatcher Demko ($7,200) - Demko isn't confirmed as the starter for the Vancouver Canucks tonight, but he should be, as Jacob Markstrom is still away from the team. Vancouver comes in as the biggest home favorite on the slate, sitting at -160, making this a clear spot to target a goalie. Picking up the fantasy points via the win is important for Demko tonight, since his recent stretch of games haven't been too kind to him. He has allowed three goals or more in four of his last five starts, picking up the win only once. Hopefully, things are a bit different tonight since the Ottawa Senators are the third-worst team in the league and are 15th when it comes to Corsi For.
They don't generate a ton of offensive pressure, which should keep Demko out of trouble, while the offense puts some goals on the board.
Brock Boeser ($7,500) - Speaking of the Vancouver offense, they are in a tremendous spot tonight since the Senators are among the weakest teams in the league on defense and take over nine minutes of penalties per game. Boeser is on the top forward line and the top power-play unit, which should present him with ample opportunities to rack up fantasy points.
I watched STL vs CHI last night and I'd say that STL's side of this chart won out. Kind of incredible to hear "Go Blues go!" chants in Chicago.
Anyway, back to numbers. pic.twitter.com/DgnB5d1JSM
— Sean Tierney (@ChartingHockey) December 3, 2019
As you can see, the Canucks and the Senators are right next to each other when it comes to pace, giving us a fantasy-friendly environment. This also shows that the Canucks don't have a ton of quality shots, and you might think that limits the upside for Boeser, but this is based on 5v5 ice time. With the Senators taking so many penalties, the power-play time for Boeser will bring him the extra chances to hit his ceiling of points. His 16 shots in the last five games is the floor, and the power-play time is the upside.
Tyler Seguin ($7,900) - Seguin is in an ideal spot tonight, and the Dallas Stars' implied goal total -- 2.55 -- doesn't reflect that. He is up against the Winnipeg Jets, who are in the bottom-eight in terms of Corsi Against and the number of High-Danger-Scoring-Chances per 60 minutes. We also see each of the Jets' defensive pairings coming in ranked 24th, 27th, and 31st in the league. They are absolutely horrible on defense, so why are we not targeting Seguin -- one of the best offensive players in the league -- in all formats tonight?
It might be the fact that it's a 10-game slate and taking a skater on a home team or with a higher implied team total seems ideal, but Seguin is still in a great spot. He is also due for a bit of puck luck soon, as he hasn't scored a goal in five games despite taking 19 shots over that span.
Frank Vatrano ($3,500) - Vatrano and the Florida Panthers hold a 3.16 implied team total tonight against the Minnesota Wild in a very interesting matchup tonight. While there are five games on the slate with over/unders sitting at 6.5, this game for the Panthers is still at 6.0, so we could certainly see plenty of scoring in this one. The over has gotten 71% of the bets according to oddsFire, which means we are trending in the right direction for extra scoring. If the other games are going to be carrying more ownership at 6.5, we can jump on this game at 6.0. I mentioned the Wild in the stacks piece today, and I think the Panthers bring some options, as well.
Vatrano is on the third forward line and the second power-play unit for the Panthers, and while he comes in with only one point in his last five games, he has 12 shots in that time. He has the benefit of playing on the same line as Mike Hoffman -- who is simply a better player than he is -- which can leave him with open space from time to time. Vatrano only has one point in his last eight games, but with a solid role and shot volume, he is due for a lucky bounce
Charlie McAvoy ($4,100) - The Boston Bruins are at home with a 3.21 implied team total -- what else is new? Their offense has scored the second-most goals this season, so getting a piece of their offense anytime you can is always a good idea. McAvoy is a defender on the first defensive pairing and the second power-play unit, which is a great spot to stack. He has a modest price tag and a floor of points with his two blocked shots per game and one shot per game average. He is a lower-end cash game play if you need the savings.