5 NFL Stats to Know Through Week 10
Saying Week 10 was exciting to watch is an understatement.
It started with Bacarri Rambo playing the hero and intercepting Ryan Fitzpatrick during a comeback attempt to seal a five-point win for the Bills in Rex Ryan's first game against the Jets since they fired him.
Then Sunday was packed with action, including Ben Roethlisberger coming off the bench to throw for 379 yards and 3 touchdowns, and Kirk Cousins and Jay Cutler both throwing for 3 touchdown passes in the first half of their games.
And the action carried over all the way to the end of the Monday night game, when the Texans beat the Bengals by four due to an A.J. Green fumble in the last minute.
Here are five stats to know -- both traditional stats and Net Expected Points (NEP) marks, which compare team's or player's performance relative to expectation-level -- through Week 10.
1. Nick Foles’ -38.55 Passing NEP is worst in the NFL
This certainly isn’t what the Rams were hoping for when they acquired Nick Foles in an offseason trade with the Eagles in exchange for Sam Bradford. Among all 55 quarterbacks with at least one drop back this season, Bradford ranks 31 spots ahead of Foles with a 18.09 Passing NEP total.
Foles is having the worst season of his career in terms of Passing NEP, and is playing far short of his 108.68 Passing NEP performance in 2013. He's thrown seven touchdown passes and six interceptions through nine games, and has only thrown one touchdown over the last four games.
He's been relegated to the bench in favor of Case Keenum, who has thrown 11 touchdowns and 8 interceptions in 10 career games. Keenum had his best season in 2013, when he appeared in eight games for the Texans and finished with a 0.08 Passing NEP per drop back.
2. Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant rank third and fourth, respectively, in fantasy points per game
No other receiver tandem is averaging more fantasy points per game than the Steelers duo of Antonio Brown (14.9) and Martavis Bryant (14.8). Since Bryant returned in Week 6, at least one of these wide receivers has had double-digit fantasy points in every game.
The second best duo in the league consists of Eric Decker (12.0) and Brandon Marshall (11.9), who rank 12th and 13th, respectively, among wide receivers in terms of fantasy points per game.
The Steelers are 2-1 since Roethlisberger returned in Week 8, but both of their wins came against teams that rank in the bottom third in the league in Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP. In Week 12 after their bye, the Steelers will take on the Seahawks defense that currently ranks fifth in Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP. It'll be a good test for Pittsburgh's passing attack.
3. Peyton Manning’s 71,871 passing yards is the most of all time in the NFL
Manning has had an incredible career and owns many other passing records, but unfortunately his latest record was overshadowed by a lackluster performance that resulted in him being benched in favor of Brock Osweiler. Before coming out of the game, Manning threw four interceptions with no touchdowns and ended with -21.40 Passing NEP.
He currently has -8.60 Passing NEP this season, and no quarterback with a worse Passing NEP value this season is currently still starting in the NFL. As I mentioned a couple weeks ago, if he were to keep up this pace for the rest of the season, or if he remains on the bench, it would be the first time in his career that he was finished a season with negative Passing NEP.
Manning also revealed a foot injury after the game and will sit out Week 11. Excluding the missed 2011 season, Sunday will be the first game Manning has missed throughout his 17 year career.
4. Jeremy Langford’s 30.20 fantasy points led the league in Week 10
The Bears didn’t trade Matt Forte before the deadline this year, and in hindsight it looks like a big missed opportunity.
Jeremy Langford has 52.40 fantasy points in the last two games since taking over the starting running back role and has been a top five fantasy running back each week. In Forte’s seven games as the starter, he only eclipsed 20 fantasy points once. That came in Week 1, when he had 22.60 fantasy points for his only top five fantasy running back performance of the year.
Among the 69 running backs with 25 or more carries this season, Langford’s 0.02 Rushing NEP per rush ranks 20th, while Forte’s -0.05 ranks 43rd.
The Bears missed their opportunity to trade Forte, but as our own Kevin Cole explained, now is the time to trade for Langford in dynasty leagues.
5. Seattle’s four interceptions is the fewest of any team in the NFL
Three other teams are tied with Seattle at four interceptions, with only the Saints (0.4) averaging fewer interceptions per game than Seahawks (0.44) so far this season.
Seattle was in the top 10 for interceptions during Sherman’s first three years before only managing 13 interceptions as a team last season. They are currently on pace for only seven interceptions this year.
The Seahawks are still led by their defense that ranks third in Adjusted Defensive NEP (-22.24) , second in yards per game (303.3), and seventh in points per game allowed (19.9) despite the lack of interceptions.
Week 11 will provide them with a great opportunity to raise their interception total against Blaine Gabbert, who threw two picks in his first game as the 49ers starting quarterback in Week 10.