NFL
6 Players Who Mattered: nF's Week 1 Fantasy Recap
After a wild week 1, numberFire takes a look at some big fantasy football names and why they overperformed or underwhelmed compared to nF projections.

Lions and Bears and Redskins, oh my! It's an Will Win Again".) But RGIII wasn't the only player to make waves; here's your week 1 roundup.

Locked on Target, Sir

numberFire favorite

Think the rest of the NFC is a bit scared right now? It's safe to say that All-Day is back. numberFire did not project nearly as many carries (we had five) for Adrian Peterson as actually happened (17), which accounts for the big discrepancy in points. This severely limits #5 Fantasy RB entering the year for a reason, and as I said in that article, "75% All-Day is better than 100% most backs". And next week, he gets to take off the reins against the Indianapolis Colts. He has regenerated.

But You Were Supposed To Do So Well!

expected fantasy surprises. The targets were there; Jackson's 10 targets were 42% of the team's total on the day. However, he couldn't convert them into catches, with only four receptions for a 40% catch rate on the day. Considering his 52% catch rate in 2011 was one of the main reasons we had Jackson so low on our initial draft board in the first place, call us less than optimistic for his chances moving forward.

surprise tight end pick as our #3 TE (which is where he finished). The unexpected part, however? Brandon Lloyd taking the lead in the Patriots offense, with Tom Brady looking his way for eight targets, the most on the team. Brady only looked Welker's way on 16% of his passes, way down from the 28% in 2011 or the 24% in 2010. I expect an increase back to the mean next week, with Welker getting closer to that 25% mark in targets. However, seeing just how volatile those looks can be should be a bit disconcerting to Welker owners, who may see more of an up and down season than originally anticipated.

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