NFL
Examining Frank Gore's Change of Heart: Why the Colts Are a Better Fit Than the Eagles
Frank Gore to the Eagles seemed to be a sure thing, but he ultimately chose to go to Indy. He made the right choice.

What? Aww, hell no. Hold up. Huh? Oh, okay. Scratch that, then.

It turns out Gore decided to forgo Philly's offer in favor of a similar deal in Indy: $8.5 million guaranteed over two years.

Gore's agreement with the Eagles was reported as such a sure thing, that some analysts I Chip Kelly's approach to personnel and his penchant for treating non-quarterback skill positions as quite replaceable.

Though we can't be certain, even if Gore was handed the starting rushing gig, his receiving numbers would likely have continued to dwindle while off-field issues.

Rather than team up with a productive and prolific receiving back (Sproles), Gore is now slated to go to a team that has an opening for a dual-threat role, a role in which he thrived earlier in his career.

A Better Fit

Sure, Gore's rushing metrics are still underwhelming, and the results of the Colts' trio in 2014 isn't exactly promising: all three rushers finished outside the top 20 in Rushing NEP among the 60 running backs with at least 75 carries. Expecting Gore to turn around his Rushing NEP might be tricky, then.

However, in terms of Success Rate, the rate at which a player adds positively to a team's NEP, the Colts were very promising despite their Rushing NEP totals. Among that 60-running back subset, the Colts had two of the top three (sorry for all the boldface) backs in the group. Bradshaw (51.65 percent) and Herron (50.00 percent) were two of only three backs to see at least 75 carries and move the NEP chains for their team on at least half of them.

Jonas Gray (56.67 percent) unsurprisingly led the pack, but Richardson (36.88 percent) ranked just 43rd. Gore was an above-average 25th (42.52 percent), and if he can somehow encompass the Success Rate of Bradshaw and Herron rather than of Richardson and also take advantage of the potential opening in receiving, then Gore could improve his rushing metrics while boosting his receiving ones, too.

Rather than be the focal point in San Francisco or just another key to a bigger puzzle in Philadelphia, Gore can likely find balance and be a go-to guy out of the backfield in Indy while defenses also have to focus on the Colts' other weapons.

Sure, there are a lot of "ifs" in this scenario, but it's hard to think Gore will be regretting this change of heart come September because his opportunity in Indianapolis seems rather ideal.

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