3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football: Week 11

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had this week.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Each and every week I'll be bringing separate prop bets articles for Monday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, and the Sunday main slate.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change after this article is published.

George Kittle Any Time Touchdown (+170)
George Kittle Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

The San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals close out Week 11 on Monday Night in Mexico City.

We see tonight's total sitting at 43.5 points and the "away" 49ers being favored by 9.5 points. Tonight's matchup is an advantageous one for a few players -- most notably, tight end George Kittle.

The Cardinals have been torched by tight ends this season to the tune of 778 receiving yards, which is dead last in the league by a full 100 yards. In no surprise, they've also allowed the most (7) touchdowns to tight ends this season, too, making this the absolute easiest matchup for the position.

Kittle comes into this week with an 18.2% target share, 17.6% air yards share, 7.0 average depth of target (aDOT), 2.3 downfield targets per game, and 19.4% red zone target share.

He continues to play a strong role in the 49ers' passing and has exceeded this 44.5 mark in three of his last five games. This shouldn't be a surprise because Kittle carries a 0.65 Receiving Net Expected Points (NEP) per target, which is the 10th-best among tight ends with at least 25 targets.

Kittle comes in projected for 50.22 receiving yards, which has him hitting the over on his prop tonight. The soft defensive matchup and solid red zone target share put him in a great spot to find the end zone.

James Conner Under 51.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

With a very tough matchup, I'm going with under 51.5 rushing yards for James Conner.

Conner is in the midst of an up-and-down season due to some injuries and offensive inconsistencies. We could certainly see a lower output from Conner tonight, as the matchup against the 49ers' run defense is as tough as it gets. This season, the 49ers have allowed a total of 566 rushing yards to opposing running backs, which is the fewest in the league. This is far from ideal for Conner, who has been under this 51.5 mark in four of his seven games this season.

Next up, we have to consider the potential game script with the Cardinals coming in as 9.5-point underdogs. This would suggest they are going to be playing from behind and not in a spot to run the ball at a high volume. They should be forced into a passing game script, which will take away chances for Conner's rushing prop.

We have a player who has been inconsistent this year facing the toughest run defense in the league while being a heavy underdog. All of this points to under 51.5 rushing yards for Conner tonight.