4 NFL FanDuel Stacks for Week 10
Stacks are usually the backbone of the best FanDuel lineups, especially in tournaments. Brandon Gdula's piece examining hit rates and correlation for stacks is a must-read article whether you're already familiar with stacking or new to the concept.
This piece will lay out my favorite weekly stacks. So, read on to see the stacks I'm firing up this week.
Kansas City Chiefs
Mahomes is having another MVP-caliber season. The stud quarterback is second in Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per drop back and first in passing yards per game (325.6) and touchdown passes (21). As if Mahomes' elite arm isn't enough, he can scoot. Mahomes has averaged 22.0 rushing yards per game and scored once on the ground.
Mahomes should add to his MVP case in a tantalizing matchup this week. According to our team power rankings, the Jacksonville Jaguars have the seventh-worst pass defense. And, of course, it's optimal that the Kansas City Chiefs have the highest implied total (30.00 points) on FanDuel's main slate. The sky's the limit for Mahomes, and he's projected as the highest scorer this week, with the highest value score -- the measure of points per $1,000 of salary -- to boot.
Gamers firing up Mahomes should stack him with at least one of his pass-catchers. Yet, he can enable multiple fantasy-friendly wideouts. First, I already highlighted the case for MVS earlier this week. So, check out 5 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 10 for my rationale behind using Valdes-Scantling.
Smith-Schuster is also an outstanding choice. The 25-year-old wideout has been rolling lately. In his last three games, Smith-Schuster has averaged 8.3 targets,7.3 receptions, and 108.3 receiving yards per game, adding 2 touchdowns for good measure. He is also 12th in Reception NEP per target in 2022.
Finally, all parties in this stack, including the bring-back options, should benefit from a speedy tempo. According to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs are 6th in situation-neutral pace, and the Jaguars are 10th.
Chicago Bears-Detroit Lions
Mooney is another holdover from 5 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 10. Let's turn our attention to St. Brown. The number-one wideout for the Detroit Lions is a target hog and an efficient weapon. Unfortunately, ARSB played limited snaps in Week 5 because of an ankle injury and was knocked out of the Week 7 contest because of ataxia. The second-year wideout has been a stud in his healthy contests, though.
In the five games in which he played at least 73 percent of Detroit's snaps, St. Brown has averaged 6.8 receptions and 75.4 receiving yards per game, sprinkling in three touchdowns and 68 rushing yards for more fantasy goodness. St. Brown has also been an efficient volume sponge. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), St. Brown has earned a target on 30.9 percent of his routes and tallied an eye-catching 2.28 yards per route run in his healthy five-game sample.
The young wideout has a mouthwatering matchup to add to his stellar stats. Per PFF, rookie cornerback Kyler Gordon has allowed 32 receptions on 35 targets in slot coverage for the second-most receiving yards (374). Additionally, the Chicago Bears are a lousy pass defense, ranking as the sixth-worst by our metrics.
This is an eruption spot for ARSB, and our projections algorithm loves him this week. St. Brown is projected as the WR6 on FanDuel's main slate and has the highest value score among wideouts.
Tennessee Titans-Denver Broncos
King Henry is also a projection darling, ranking as the RB1 with the second-highest value score among running backs. The bulldozer back is a workhorse and has put the Tennessee Titans' offense on his back.
Henry leads the NFL in carries (183) even though the Titans already had their bye. And, according to Pro Football Reference, he's also atop the heap in rushing yards per game (108.8) and second in rushing touchdowns (9). Henry is also a standout in a few underlying stats. According to PFF, among running backs who've carried the ball at least 50 times this year, Henry is sixth in missed tackles forced (36) and fourth in yards after contact per attempt (3.98).
Henry always has a case for usage on FanDuel rosters. Still, the context is excellent this week. First, we rank the Denver Broncos as the sixth-worst rush defense. Second, the Titans are 2.5-point favorites. Henry checks all the boxes and is a high-upside pick this week.
If the game script is good for Henry, it's favorable for Dulcich's pass-catching potential. He was highlighted as a value to target in Week 10 earlier this week, and my expectations haven't changed. Again, I advise checking out his write-up in 5 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 10.
Miami Dolphins-Cleveland Browns
Hill has exceeded even the most optimistic expectations for him in his first year with the Miami Dolphins. According to Sports Info Solutions (SIS), Hill is second in target share (32.3 percent) and first in intended air yards (1,267). Cheetah's eye-popping numbers don't end there. He's also tied for 13th in Reception NEP per target, 1st in yards per route run (3.82), 2nd in receptions per game (8.4), and 1st in receiving yards per game (122.7).
Hill has been unguardable. Fortunately, he has a cushy matchup. According to Football Outsiders, number-one wideouts average the ninth-most receiving yards per game (75.4) against the Cleveland Browns. Like almost every team that's faced Hill this year, Cleveland is ill-equipped to contain him. As a result, Hill is projected as the WR1 with the second-highest value score among wideouts on FanDuel's main slate.
Peoples-Jones is an exciting same-game bring-back option from Hill. The Miami Dolphins have been a DFS treasure trove this year, lighting up the scoreboard and getting lit up by the opposition. Miami's pass defense is the fourth-worst this year by our metrics. Further, number-two wideouts have averaged 49.0 receiving yards per game against the Dolphins this year, a pinch above the league average of 47.4.
DPJ has played well enough to merit lineup consideration against Miami's lousy pass defense in this game stack. In his last five games, the third-year wide receiver has averaged 4.6 receptions and 69.4 receiving yards per game. Peoples-Jones' underlying numbers have also been encouraging during his rock-solid five-game stretch, including tallying 2.13 yards per route run and earning a target on 18.4 percent of his routes.
Finally, the betting info is nifty. The Dolphins have the second-highest implied total (26.50), and the Browns are tied for the sixth-highest implied total (23.00) on the slate. The small spread (3.5 points) and bloated implied totals are a recipe for FanDuel fireworks.
Joshua Shepardson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.