Super Bowl Futures Betting Update: Week 9
We are more or less halfway through the 2022 NFL season. While no teams have as yet been eliminated from playoff consideration, there are a few squads whose eyes are more focused on the 2023 NFL Draft than the 2022 postseason. But for at least the next few weeks, all 32 teams have a shout of tasting Super Bowl glory this season.
Thanks to the FanDuel Sportsbook we can see the latest odds on each team to take home the Vince Lombardi Trophy this year. We can also see each team's odds according to our very own metrics here at numberFire.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability | nF Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +230 | 30.3% | 34.2% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +550 | 15.4% | 25.6% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +700 | 12.5% | 14.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1300 | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1400 | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1400 | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1600 | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2400 | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2800 | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3100 | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | +3100 | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3400 | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Tennessee Titans | +4400 | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Green Bay Packers | +5500 | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| New England Patriots | +6000 | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +6500 | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| New York Giants | +7000 | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cleveland Browns | +8000 | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| New Orleans Saints | +8500 | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +9500 | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +9500 | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +13000 | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Denver Broncos | +13000 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| New York Jets | +14000 | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +15000 | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Washington Commanders | +18000 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Detroit Lions | +55000 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Panthers | +60000 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chicago Bears | +85000 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +85000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Houston Texans | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The team that saw their odds improve the most since last week is the Seattle Seahawks. Their victory over the New York Giants in Week 8 improved their record to 5-3 on the season, and their Super Bowl odds came into +6500 from +10000 a week ago. But while the bookies are suddenly more confident of Seattle's title chances, our nERD metrics still give them just a 40.9% of making the playoffs, let alone winning everything.
The Cleveland Browns' victory over the Cincinnati Bengals also boosted their title chances, with the Browns now available at +8000 ahead of Week 9. The Bengals sit at 4-4 and have seen their odds fall out to +2800. The Baltimore Ravens have the shortest odds of all the AFC North teams at +1400. The Pittsburgh Steelers, fresh from a thumping by the Philadelphia Eagles, have fallen all the way down to +85000, with only the Houston Texans boasting longer odds than the six-time champions.
The New York Jets had won four in a row coming into Week 8, but their loss to the New England Patriots put a serious dent into their title odds. The Jets are now sitting at +14000 after you could have got them at +7500 a week ago. The Indianapolis Colts' odds continue to get longer after their loss to the Washington Commanders sent them to 3-4-1 for the year. The Colts are now +15000 and have just a 7.6% chance of making the postseason, according to our metrics.
