NFL

Super Bowl Futures Betting Update: Week 7

If Week 6 was anything to go by, the 2022 NFL season could be one of the most "Any Given Sunday" seasons of all time. Outside of a couple of teams, the whole league seems capable of beating any team put in front of it. Conversely, it also looks like it could lose to any team put in front of it. I suppose this is what parity indeed looks like.

The Week 6 action saw quite significant changes in the betting odds for each team in their ongoing bids to win the Super Bowl this season. Thanks to the FanDuel Sportsbook, you can see the latest odds for each team below, as well as their chances of success based on numberFire metrics.

TeamOddsImplied
Probability
nF
Odds
Buffalo Bills+29025.6%33.0%
Philadelphia Eagles+55015.4%17.7%
Kansas City Chiefs+80011.1%10.4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+11008.3%7.5%
Minnesota Vikings+17005.6%3.9%
Baltimore Ravens+18005.3%4.4%
Los Angeles Chargers+18005.3%2.5%
San Francisco 49ers+19005.0%2.9%
Green Bay Packers+20004.8%2.0%
Dallas Cowboys+20004.8%2.2%
Los Angeles Rams+23004.2%1.3%
Cincinnati Bengals+24004.0%2.7%
Miami Dolphins+40002.4%1.7%
Indianapolis Colts+50002.0%0.3%
New England Patriots+50002.0%1.3%
New York Giants+50002.0%1.3%
Tennessee Titans+55001.8%0.6%
Las Vegas Raiders+70001.4%0.8%
Jacksonville Jaguars+75001.3%0.4%
New Orleans Saints+85001.2%0.4%
Cleveland Browns+85001.2%0.1%
New York Jets+85001.2%0.7%
Denver Broncos+90001.1%1.0%
Arizona Cardinals+100001.0%0.6%
Atlanta Falcons+150000.7%0.2%
Seattle Seahawks+210000.5%0.0%
Detroit Lions+220000.5%0.0%
Pittsburgh Steelers+220000.5%0.1%
Washington Commanders+310000.3%0.0%
Carolina Panthers+550000.2%0.0%
Houston Texans+1000000.1%0.0%
Chicago Bears+1000000.1%0.0%


The Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles remain atop the pack, both sides seeing their odds improve after victories over the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys, respectively. The Chiefs have fallen to third favorites with the reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers still in fourth place.

The Minnesota Vikings have jumped up to +1700 in the title odds after a win over the Miami Dolphins saw them improve to 5-1 on the season.

The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers lost at the weekend, and these defeats have knocked them a ways back. The Packers were available at +1000 after Week 5 but now sit at +2000. The 49ers, with their roster resembling a M*A*S*H* unit with each passing week, are now at +1900.

The team that beat the Packers, the New York Jets, saw a massive boost to their odds after a 4-2 start to the season. The Jets' odds of Super Bowl glory are +8500, a long way from the +41000 they were priced at after Week 2. The Jets' success is largely due to their impressive defensive form, with Robert Saleh's charges currently ranked seventh by numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics.

Two of the teams with the longest championship odds are the two teams that have made changes to their coaches and front office so far this season. The Carolina Panthers' first game in the post-Matt Rhule era was a woeful loss to the Los Angeles Rams. The Houston Texans said goodbye to front office executive Jack Easterby on Monday, leaving the team sitting at 1-3-1 with a 0.1% chance of winning a championship this season.