Monday Night Football Betting: Will We See a Shootout Between the Vikings and Eagles?
Here is how numberFire ranks each team heading into tonight’s game using our nERD metric and Net Expected Points (NEP):
|Team||nERD||nERD Rank||Rush Off NEP Rank||Pass Off NEP Rank||Rush Def NEP Rank||Pass Def NEP Rank|
Inside the Standard Bets
Our model likes the Eagles -- both to win and to cover. We have them winning outright 62.4% of the time, and we project them to cover the 2.5-point spread 57.6% of the time. At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Eagles' moneyline odds are -136, which comes out to an implied probability of 57.6%, and their odds to cover the spread are at the typical -110 (52.4%).
Our model finds enough value in both the spread and moneyline wagers on Philadelphia to make each a one-star bet.
The point total line for this matchup sits at lofty 50.5 points, but our model sees the over/under as essentially a coin flip.
Player Prop Value Bets
Jalen Hurts had a monster game on the ground last week, toting the rock 17 times for 90 yards. Our model is projecting a pretty big drop-off tonight as we forecast him to have only 44.1 rushing yards. With his rushing yards line at 50.5 yards, take the under here.
The over is 11-7 for both the Vikings and Eagles since the start of the 2021 season. Looking at only Philly's home games, the over is 6-2 in that stretch. If you take the Vikings away games over that span, the over is 7-2.
If you feel bad about betting the under from the first game, hammering this over is the palette cleanser you're looking for.