3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 2
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had this week.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Each and every week I'll be bringing separate prop bets articles for Monday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, and the Sunday main slate.
Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change after this article is published.
Mark Andrews Any Time Touchdown (+135)
The Ravens are carrying a 24.00-point implied team total and are ready to take on the Miami Dolphins in a game where the over/under is set at 44.5 points. There should be a good amount of offense in this matchup, and we want to capture that scoring with some solid plus-money on Andrews' touchdown prop.
In Week 1, Andrews had a rather modest game with 7 targets, 5 receptions, 52 yards, and no touchdowns. He's been so good over the past few seasons that we've come to expect huge games from him every week.
Despite Andrews not finding the end zone, it's good to see that he had a team-high 7 targets, which came out to a 23.3% target share. He's still the top pass-catching option of Lamar Jackson, which was on full display last season when Andrews led the team in targets, yards, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns.
Andrews has the highest touchdown projection out of any tight end on Sunday's slate, according to our projections. He's an elite tight end with solid plus-money for a touchdown prop.
Terry McLaurin Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
With a strong matchup, Terry McLaurin is in a great spot for his receiving prop.
The Washington Commanders head to Detroit to take on the Lions, and the total is set at a solid 48.5 points. Week 1 is only a one-game sample size, so we want to take things with a grain of salt, but it told us enough to start drawing some conclusions.
First off, the Lions' defense is not going to be good and should result in some high-scoring games. A.J. Brown roasted the secondary for 155 receiving yards last week, and while I don't think McLaurin will do the exact same, there's plenty of upside for him to cruise past 59.5 yards.
McLaurin had just four targets in Week 1, which is rather low for a team's top receiver. This week, he's projected for 7.80 targets, per our model, which is the 12th-highest target projection on the slate. If he gets that volume, he should be able to produce since he will likely be lined up against Amani Oruwariye, who is the 74th-ranked cornerback (out of 90), according to PFF.
Add all of this up, and McLaurin is projected for 64.70 receiving yards, hitting the over on his prop this week.
Kyler Murray Over 250.5 Passing Yards (-114)
In what could be the highest-scoring game on the slate, we turn to a quarterback prop.
That game would be the Las Vegas Raiders hosting the Arizona Cardinals, where the total is set at 51.5 points. The quarterback we are zeroing in on is Kyler Murray, and I like him to go over 250.5 passing yards.
There wasn't much to write home about for Murray or the Cardinals in Week 1 against the Kansas City Chiefs. They got blown out. It got to the point that Trace McSorley even came in for some plays when the game was out of reach.
Murray was rather uninspiring in that game with only 5.7 yards per attempt, a 64.7 completion percentage, and a total of 193 passing yards. Despite the lack of production from Murray last week, brighter days lie ahead, and he has a favorable matchup versus the Raiders' secondary.
In Week 1, the Raiders allowed 279 passing yards to Justin Herbert, which gave Vegas the second-worst pass D by our numbers. With a very high over/under and a fairly close 5.5-point spread, we should be plenty of scoring and plenty of offensive plays.
This should give Murray ample time to rack up the yards through the air. numberFire's projections have Murray going for 256.77 passing yards, pushing to the over on this prop.