4 NFL FanDuel Tournament Pivots for Week 11

If you've played daily fantasy sports for a while, you realize by now the importance of being contrarian, especially in large-field tournaments. Being able to recognize which players are going to be owned by the majority of the field -- and to find players who you think have a similar point projection but will come at much lower ownership -- can help separate you from your opponents.

The purpose of this article will be to identify some players who will be the chalk at each position and how you can pivot off of them with high-upside options that could go overlooked.

Let's take a look at pivot options for Week 11.

Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennesse Titans ($7,800)

The Tennessee Titans are 10.0-point home favorites, and yet, Ryan Tannehill shouldn't be popular.

The Titans have a 27.25 implied team total, which is the fourth-highest on the board, and they're in a spot to pick up another win against the lowly Houston Texans. Speaking of the Texans, they come in allowing 20.1 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks, the ninth-most in the league. So if the Titans have a high implied team total, are home favorites, and have a favorable matchup, why isn't Tannehill going to be popular?

It comes down to the fact the Texans might not be able to do much on offense, which means the Titans can run the ball, thus limiting Tannehill's upside. It also has to do with the fact that Kyler Murray ($8,200), Aaron Rodgers ($7,700), and even Jalen Hurts ($7,700) are in the same salary range.

Given Tannehill's game environment -- which is no fault of his own -- and the other options around him, it's fair to assume he will be the least popular of the bunch, making him a nice pivot.

Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team ($6,700)

With the news that Alvin Kamara is out again for this Sunday's game, it changes the landscape of the running back position.

Last week when Kamara was out, Mark Ingram ($6,800) had 18.8 FanDuel points, 18 total touches, and 108 total yards with an 85.2% snap rate and 55.0% route rate. Kamara is out again, and ipso facto, Ingram should be in for similar work, and that will make him chalky. But how does this affect Antonio Gibson?

Well, Gibson is sitting right next to Ingram at $6,700, likely going vastly overlooked. Not to mention A.J. Dillon ($7,000) is right near that salary, too, and is set for the majority of the work for the Green Bay Packers.

This is the perfect time to zig when everyone else zags and go to Gibson, who still leads Washington with 20.1 running back adjusted opportunities per game.

Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens ($7,300)

Marquise Brown is going to go nuts this week and no one is going to be rostering him.

A $7,300, Brown sits among a strong tier of wide receivers, which is highlighted by A.J. Brown ($7,200) versus the Texans. Considering Julio Jones is on injured reserve for the Titans, it makes sense Brown will be super chalky.

I want to pivot to Brown, who is on the road to take on the Chicago Bears. And I know everyone might be thinking that the Bears are a strong defense and not a spot you want to attack, but here's the thing -- they're not good. They're not good overall, and they're not good specifically against wide receivers. In fact, the Bears are allowing the fourth-most (33.4) FanDuel points per game to wide receivers. Yeah, you want to attack them.

Brown is boasting a team-high 26.5% target market share, a team-high 13.5 average depth of target (aDOT), and a 22.2 % red zone target share, which is the second-highest on the team. Oh, by the way, he has 39, THIRTY-NINE, targets in the past three weeks.

If the Baltimore Ravens give him that kind of volume against this Bears' defense, he is going to break the slate.

Mike Gesicki, TE, Miami Dolphins ($6,300)

Yes, Mike Gesicki had seven targets last week and didn't catch a single one.

We all saw that game against the Baltimore Ravens. It wasn't pretty for a number of reasons, and Gesicki was no exception. Seven targets are great, but having zero receptions on seven targets is not. Considering the tight end position is actually loaded this week, and there are four elite tight ends more expensive than Gesicki, we could be facing some recency bias against him due to the drops, leading to him being overlooked.

This has me very interested because he still holds an 18.1% target share on the Miami Dolphins, a 9.4 aDOT, and the second-most (9) red zone targets on the team. The Dolphins also find themselves against the New York Jets, who are allowing 11.2 FanDuel points per game to tight ends.

So forget the recent game against the Ravens and go right back to Gesicki this week, who shouldn't be popular.