Super Bowl Futures Betting Update: Week 7
For the second week in a row, the events of the latest slate of NFL games have led to the bookies declaring a new favorite to take home the Super Bowl. According to the latest odds from the FanDuel Sportsbook, the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers now have the shortest odds to ultimate triumph.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability | nF Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +550 | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| Buffalo Bills | +600 | 14.3% | 14.4% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +750 | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +850 | 10.5% | 13.3% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +950 | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +1000 | 9.1% | 11.8% |
| Green Bay Packers | +1200 | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1200 | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Cleveland Browns | +2000 | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2200 | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Tennessee Titans | +2200 | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| New Orleans Saints | +4000 | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +4500 | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +5000 | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +7000 | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +7000 | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +7500 | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Denver Broncos | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| New England Patriots | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Carolina Panthers | +11000 | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +13000 | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chicago Bears | +17000 | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Washington | +18000 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | +18000 | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Miami Dolphins | +37000 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| New York Giants | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Houston Texans | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Detroit Lions | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| New York Jets | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The Bucs are one of what is becoming a bigger-than-usual elite tier of teams, all of whom have better than a 10% chance of winning the Super Bowl, according to our metrics. The Bucs are joined by the Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, and Arizona Cardinals. The Kansas City Chiefs are barely on the outside of that group, with a 9.3% chance, per our model.
The team that saw the biggest shortening of their odds among the other contenders in Week 6 was the Cincinnati Bengals. They improved to 4-2 on the year with their win over the Detroit Lions, and as a result, their Super Bowl odds have dropped to +7000 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Two teams that saw their odds go the other way were the Denver Broncos and Miami Dolphins. The Broncos have dropped their last three games after starting 3-0, and their schedule doesn't look like it will ease up anytime soon. The Dolphins fell to 1-5 on the year after their last-second loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. Brian Flores and his team were longshots at +10000 a week ago, and now the shot is even longer with odds of +37000. Only five teams have longer odds than the Dolphins do.
