NFL
Can You Trust Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener in Fantasy Football?
Will Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener continue to put up big stats now that Allen is returning from injury?

The fantasy playoffs are here, and unless you have returning in week 14 from a high ankle injury with Fleener having performed very well in his absence (13 receptions on 18 targets for 299 yards and 2 touchdowns), the question is whether or not these two can share the fantasy spotlight. My thought on this is why not?

Assuming two things - first, the lack of other tight end options you can trust in your fantasy playoffs or daily games and, second, the high usage of the tight end position in the Colts high-octane offense - both Fleener and Allen can perform well for you down the stretch, whether you own either one of these guys, or both. Outdoing Gronk's stats above should be proof positive that you can rely on the 6'3" Allen and the 6'6" Fleener down the stretch.

Additionally, in games where Allen was not injured and both tight ends played, both players scored touchdowns in the Jacksonville, Tennessee, and New York Giants contests. If you were trying to predict which one of these guys is more likely to score a touchdown in a given week, it may be tough, but the edge would probably go to Allen who is utilized in the red zone more than Fleener, especially when Luck uses play fakes or rollouts, like in this two-yard touchdown versus the Giants.

While Allen is more likely to score a touchdown and would be considered more "touchdown-dependent" for fake football value, he's scored in seven of nine games and typically has a stat line that resembles 3 to 4 receptions for 50 yards and a touchdown. Allen basically represents a high floor with a low ceiling.

On the other hand, Fleener's 2014 statistics boast some more yardage and more long yardage touchdowns, including a 73-yard touchdown on some horrendous tackling by the Redskins and significant blown coverage. These plays represent Fleener's lack of athleticism in that he almost fell while not being touched on his 31 yard touchdown and then alligator-armed and dropped a wide open huge play.

The knock on Fleener, who has been with Luck since their days at Stanford, is simply that he's afraid to get hit and has inconsistent hands, and as a result, he's not a very good football player. However, as a fantasy owner, do you really care about how he gets his production so long as he produces? I mean, it isn't his fault that he slipped behind blown coverages and broke weak tackles to score from 73 yards out, is it?

Since Week 7, Fleener has had four games of 64 or more yards receiving, including two 100-yard games in Allen's absence. This and his five touchdowns demonstrate that while he may have a lower floor than Allen (six games in 2014 with two or fewer receptions), his ceiling is certainly way higher than Allen's, and given the uncertainty of the tight end position right now, that upside could be a piece of the winning your fantasy league playoffs puzzle if you are willing to trot Fleener into your lineup.

Week 14 and Beyond

Our remaining year projections have Allen and Fleener ranked 8th and 10th, respectively, with Allen's expected output of 12 receptions for 152 yards and 1.89 touchdowns slightly higher than Fleener again on the expectation that he's more likely to find the end zone than Fleener (12 receptions for 159 yards and 1.65 touchdowns).

Whether you prefer Allen or Fleener at this point with a weak and unpredictable tight end pool, both of the Colts tight ends deserve starting fantasy lineup consideration based on their statistics thus far, the Colts' prolific passing offense, and a quarterback who looks their way frequently.

Related News

Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener: Making Sense of the Indianapolis Tight Ends

Leo Howell  --  Dec 4th, 2014

Is the Elite Tight End Gap Closing in Fantasy Football?

Matt Goodwin  --  Dec 4th, 2014

Fantasy Football Tight End Streaming: Week 14 Edition

Jordan Hoover  --  Dec 4th, 2014