4 NFL DraftKings Values for Week 6
Fantasy value doesn't have one concrete meaning. In season-long leagues, one might say that value is dictated by a player's total or weekly output versus their average draft position. In daily leagues, most players are measuring value by a player's output per $1,000 in salary -- in other words, the bang you get for your buck.
Finding cheap players in high-scoring games or with big matchup upside is pivotal to paying up for high-priced players such as Patrick Mahomes and Christian McCaffrey. The combination of the two is what can drive tournament-winning lineups or ones that will help you cash (in 50/50s, etc.) on a consistent basis.
Everyone has their own idea of where the salary cutoff for a value player is. It can depend on position, situation, or even site. For DraftKings, this article looks at quarterbacks who are priced under $6,000, running backs and wide receivers priced under $5,000, and tight ends priced under $4,000.
Some value plays will be obvious and might be rostered in a high percentage of lineups, while others will be more off-the-radar which could differentiate you from other lineups. We're here to parse through the data and information to find both types of low-cost-high-reward plays on a weekly basis.
Let's see who you should be fitting into your Week 6 lineups.
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennessee Titans
DraftKings Price: $5,900
Projected Points: 18.5
Projected Value (points per $1,000): 3.14
Don't look now, but Ryan Tannehill is on a roll again. In his follow-up to last year's monster performance, the Tennessee Titans' signal caller is sixth in the league in Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per drop back, trailing -- among others -- Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson and Patrick Mahomes. He's in great company, and rightfully so based on both his efficiency and output in the production department.
Through four games, Tannehill has averaged a hair over 250 yards a game en route to 2.6 touchdowns and 23.2 DraftKings points. The latter is fourth on this week's main slate, but to take it one step further, his upside is monstrous. On two occasions, Tannehill has gone for at least 26.76 DK points while he capped out at 30 this past week against the tough Buffalo Bills. He's been a touchdown machine, and this week should be no different.
At home in Tennessee, Tannehill's offense has an implied total of 28.5 against the Houston Texans. In the nine games the Titans have scored at least 28 with Tannehill under center, they he has averaged 23.9 DK point, with at least three passing scores in eight of the nine.
Lamical Perine, RB, New York Jets
DraftKings Price: $4,000
Projected Points: 7.3
Projected Value: 1.82
There will be no more Le'Veon Bell experience in New York. On Tuesday, the New York Jets released Bell, opening up the backfield once again to some combination of Frank Gore and La'Mical Perine. Gore has already gotten a lot of run when Bell has been injured, but coach Adam Gase already gave voice to the fact that Perine will be more involved after receiving zero snaps in Week 5.
If that rings true, Perine should be in for a lot opportunity. Bell leaves behind more than 21.5 attempts-plus-targets from a year ago, and with Perine's fresher legs and more proven hands, he should see catching work over his fellow backfield mate. The rookie has only two targets in his 40 NFL snaps, but in his last year at Florida, he converted 40 receptions into 262 yards and 5 touchdowns. At the same time, he averaged over five yards per tote in back-to-back seasons, so the efficiency could carry over this week against Miami.
The Jets are 9.5-point underdogs on the road, however, the host Dolphins -- according to Pro Football Reference -- are allowing 28.5 DK points to backs, including 244 yards and a touchdown through the air. At his very low investment, Perine could pay off big in tournament formats.
Darnell Mooney, WR, Chicago Bears
DraftKings Price: $3,000
Projected Points: 7.9
Projected Value: 2.63
If Breshad Perriman remains out for New York, Jeff Smith is an easy bet for volume, but the former has returned to practice and is closer to being back on the field this week. That leaves Chicago's Darnell Mooney as the top guy at the bare minimum on DraftKings. The very low salary isn't the only reason to throw the rookie into your lineups, though.
After starting the year with a 32% snap share, Mooney has played at least 60% of the snaps in four straight, and over the last two, he's been in on 65%-plus with a combined 14 targets. He has only seven catches to show for it, but those were two tough matchups with Nick Foles seemingly knocking off the rust. In fact, Foles has shown his belief in Mooney both on and off the field, speaking highly of his ability to be a great receiver.
This week's opponent, the Panthers, have been surprisingly good on defense and against receivers (sixth-best), yet four of their six passing scores allowed have gone to that position. Chicago's 21.75 total is enough for Mooney to enjoy a true breakout week at this bottom-dollar cost.
Irv Smith, Jr., TE Minnesota Vikings
DraftKings Price: $2,500
Projected Points: 6.4
Projected Value: 2.56
While everyone flocks to Trey Burton, it would be wise to pivot to Irv Smith Jr. as part of the Minnesota Vikings' juicy matchup with the Atlanta Falcons. The Vikings, as 4.5-point home favorites, are expected to put up the single-most points (29.5) on the slate as part of this week's highest total. Their offense is going to eat, and it's just a matter of who -- not if anyone -- will ultimately cross the goal line.
The numbers favor every position, really, but Atlanta's not doing well against tight ends in the red zone. Their seven touchdowns against are the most against the position, and their 21.5 DK points allowed a game are third-highest.
You may be thinking to yourself that Kyle Rudolph is still the featured guy for the Vikings, but you're only partially right. While Rudolph leads tight ends with a 71% snap rate, Smith has been in for 62% of offensive plays and -- per PlayerProfiler -- has ran 12 more routes than his teammate. This last week, his 31 routes represented a season-high as he tallied 4 catches on his way to 64 yards. That, plus a touchdown, is definitely in play versus the Falcons.
Brett Oswalt is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Brett Oswalt also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username BRO14THEKID. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.