Using Our Draft Kit to Win Your Yahoo Fantasy Football League

We're all in the thick of fantasy football draft season, and while we may not have had as much training camp and preseason exposure as usual, the algorithms at numberFire haven't been sleeping.

And that's good news for us because our draft kit is fully customizable for your league settings, and we can use those to find leverage spots in fantasy football drafts.

Because your draft lobby will sort and rank players differently based on your site of choice, your favorite sleepers may be gone by the time you normally would draft them in your mocks. If your site ranks your 10th-round gem as a 7th-round pick, you have to adjust.

So, know your league settings and plan accordingly. I'm trying to help.

I ran numberFire's projections -- tailored to the default Yahoo scoring setup -- to find the biggest discrepancies between our ranks and Yahoo's default list.

Things to Know

1. Yahoo's starting lineup is QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/TE/Flex. This means you start only two receivers but have a flex spot.

2. There are two injured reserve spots. This gives you some flexibility in case of positive COVID-19 tests.

3. Yahoo defaults to half-PPR scoring. Your players will receive 0.5 fantasy points per catch.

4. Interceptions are -1 fantasy points, not -2. This may or may not matter to you, but it's worth noting that picks aren't as harmful as they are on other sites.

Overvalued Yahoo Players According to Our Projections

There are a lot of discrepancies here in our projections compared to the Yahoo draft app.

Player Position numberFire
Joe Burrow QB 242 125 -117
Damien Harris RB 229 117 -112
Chase Edmonds RB 226 120 -106
Philip Rivers QB 250 148 -102
Drew Lock QB 255 154 -101
Justin Jackson RB 241 146 -95
A.J. Dillon RB 244 155 -89
Jack Doyle TE 251 162 -89
Eric Ebron TE 257 169 -88
Curtis Samuel WR 227 151 -76
Sam Darnold QB 234 160 -74
Nyheim Hines RB 204 134 -70
Derek Carr QB 224 158 -66
Teddy Bridgewater QB 232 167 -65
Chris Herndon TE 202 138 -64
Tyler Higbee TE 124 62 -62
Gardner Minshew QB 235 174 -61
Jared Cook TE 131 71 -60
Noah Fant TE 175 123 -52
Matthew Stafford QB 129 84 -45
Jimmy Garoppolo QB 175 135 -40
Jonnu Smith TE 170 133 -37
Baker Mayfield QB 140 104 -36
Blake Jarwin TE 146 116 -30
Daniel Jones QB 135 106 -29
Rob Gronkowski TE 156 129 -27
Matt Ryan QB 98 72 -26
John Brown WR 136 110 -26
Robby Anderson WR 201 175 -26
Adrian Peterson RB 127 102 -25
Darius Slayton WR 149 124 -25
Ben Roethlisberger QB 120 96 -24

By no means are these "can't draft" plays, but when I've done this study in the past, the discrepancies aren't usually this voluminous and cavernous.

A big reason for the dissonance is that Yahoo lists 28 quarterbacks inside their top-180. In a 15-round, 12-team draft, 180 players get selected. In a single-quarterback league, 28 quarterbacks won't be drafted in the top-180. We have just 20 quarterbacks in our top-140. Similarly, Yahoo lists 21 tight ends in their top-180. We've got 18 and then a big drop off to the rest.

Individual discrepancies exist, of course, at running back and receiver. Damien Harris appears overvalued, though Harris is in the top-150 for JJ Zachariason, Jim Sannes, and me.

A few depth running backs are higher on Yahoo's list than ours -- Chase Edmonds, Justin Jackson, A.J. Dillon, to name a few -- but they're all at least 120th in the app's rankings.

Among players in the double-digit picks, the most overvalued are Tyler Higbee, who is 62nd on Yahoo's list but 124th in our rankings. Jared Cook (71st, 131st) isn't too far off.

Undervalued Yahoo Players According to Our Projections

These are the players in our top-180 based on Yahoo's default settings with the biggest discrepancies in Yahoo rank.

Player Position numberFire
Darrynton Evans RB 138 2391 2253
Joshua Kelley RB 175 2407 2232
Devine Ozigbo RB 142 2339 2197
Ryquell Armstead RB 50 297 247
Frank Gore RB 139 358 219
Steven Sims WR 144 315 171
DeSean Jackson WR 111 246 135
Bryce Love RB 133 264 131
Preston Williams WR 94 180 86
Chris Thompson RB 119 201 82
Jerick McKinnon RB 125 199 74
Deebo Samuel WR 100 161 61
Kerryon Johnson RB 60 115 55
Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB 82 136 54
Christian Kirk WR 96 144 48
Mecole Hardman WR 117 164 47
N'Keal Harry WR 137 181 44
Golden Tate WR 122 165 43
Breshad Perriman WR 126 168 42
Jerry Jeudy WR 128 166 38
Sony Michel RB 105 142 37
Emmanuel Sanders WR 116 149 33
David Johnson RB 20 51 31
Brandin Cooks WR 97 128 31
Mike Williams WR 109 137 28
Antonio Gibson RB 67 94 27
Henry Ruggs WR 143 170 27
Kareem Hunt RB 36 59 23
Devin Singletary RB 43 66 23
Sterling Shepard WR 95 118 23
CeeDee Lamb WR 108 131 23

A few players really jump off the page, and they're all running backs without starting roles. Darrynton Evans should have a third-down role for the Tennessee Titans behind Derrick Henry. Joshua Kelley and Devine Ozigbo have pass-catching backs (Austin Ekeler and Chris Thompson, respectively) in their way but could carve out early-down work. The same goes for Ryquell Armstead (Ozigbo's teammate and a screaming value if he takes over the early-down work from Leonard Fournette). Thompson himself is a value.

DeSean Jackson is currently the WR1 for the Philadelphia Eagles but is 246th in the Yahoo draft app. Preston Williams led the Miami Dolphins in target share while healthy in 2019 but is 190th.

A Closer Look at the Top

There are actually 21 instances within Yahoo's top-36 where our ranks are at least 6 picks apart.

Jonathan TaylorRB223513
Chris CarsonRB183012
Austin EkelerRB14228
Melvin GordonRB21298
Aaron JonesRB13207
Miles SandersRB8146
Josh JacobsRB12186
Lamar JacksonQB27336
D.J. MooreWR3832-6
Davante AdamsWR169-7
Patrick MahomesQB3326-7
Travis KelceTE2517-8
Michael ThomasWR156-9
DeAndre HopkinsWR2819-9
Odell BeckhamWR3928-11
Julio JonesWR2412-12
Tyreek HillWR2310-13
Allen RobinsonWR3421-13
Adam ThielenWR4127-14
George KittleTE3116-15
A.J. BrownWR5136-15

Basically, our projections suggest that the Yahoo app is downplaying the early-round running backs. It flies against the temptation to go with the ZeroRB strategy, but early-round production is really hard to find from waiver-wire running backs.

If you trust our numbers, there's a lot of value to be found and avoided when drafting on Yahoo this season.