7 Daily Fantasy Football Tournament Plays for Week 4
As the season progresses, players' salaries are beginning to feel much closer to where they belong, making it harder to seek out edges. But it's that much more profitable for those who do.
Let's get right into some Week 4 tournament plays.
Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys - Romo will be matched up this week against a Saints defense that has been absolutely unable to stop quarterbacks. The Saints have given up the 10th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and are 30th against the pass according to our Net Expected Points metric. Also appealing about this matchup is how high scoring it is poised to be; with an over/under of 53, Vegas projects this to be the highest scoring of the week. Romo started the season fairly slowly, but he's coming off of a solid outing against the Rams, and this matchup is just too favorable to pass up in tournaments with his salary at $7,500.
DeAngelo Williams, Carolina Panthers - With Jonathan Stewart likely out this week and Mike Tolbert on short-term IR, Williams' return is coming just in time for the Panthers. Without the crowded backfield that usually plagues his fantasy value, Williams should see plenty of opportunities this week. Once they're in scoring position, the Panthers are one of the most run-heavy teams in the league, having seven rushing plays versus two passing plays from inside the 10-yard line so far this year. There are 41 backs with higher price tags than Williams this week on DraftKings, getting a feature back with serious touchdown potential for the price of a backup is an absolute steal.
Fred Jackson, Buffalo Bills - Despite some concerns about age and usage coming into the season, Fred Jackson is looking like he's going to prove, once again, that he is ageless. He sits tied with Sammy Watkins for the team lead in receptions right now with 13, and his 17 targets in the passing game have him tied for fourth among all NFL running backs. He's also fifth among running backs in Reception NEP with 8.66. He's been a more effective rusher for the Bills than teammate C.J. Spiller, averaging 4.76 yards per carry to Spiller's 3.97, and with a Rushing NEP per carry of -0.08 compared to Spiller's -0.12. Jackson also has eight carries and three targets in the red zone, where he's clearly the top back on the team (Spiller has one target and one carry in the red zone so far), giving him a lot of potential for touchdowns.
Jeremy Maclin, Philadelphia Eagles - Maclin has been quietly putting up top-tier numbers this season. He currently ranks fifth among wideouts in fantasy scoring, and has 16 receptions for 296 yards and 3 touchdowns. Despite this success, Maclin has actually seen his DraftKings salary decrease by $100 this week, and now sits at $6,300, at least $2,000 less than you'd be paying up for Julio Jones or Calvin Johnson. Maclin has not yet seen fewer than 10 targets in a game this season, and against a San Francisco defense that has been in the middle-of-the-pack defending the pass, Maclin should once again show that he is a top fantasy option at wide receiver this year.
Keenan Allen, San Diego Chargers - Despite Keenan Allen's slow start, he's a great play this week. Jacksonville has given up no fewer than 34 points in a game this season, and has averaged 39.67 points against. This matchup will afford the Chargers ample scoring opportunities, and with the large share of the Chargers' targets that went to Allen in 2013, it's hard to believe he wont overtake Eddie Royal as the Chargers' volume leader sooner rather than later. With a price tag of only $5,300 on DraftKings this week, Allen offers a lot of value without a big investment.
Owen Daniels, Baltimore Ravens - With Dennis Pitta injured, Owen Daniels possesses a lot of value at tight end. Pitta was second on the team with 22 targets, which leaves a lot of volume to go around in the Ravens offense. Pitta saw these targets despite playing fairly poorly (he ranks 33rd among tight ends with five or more targets in Reception NEP per target), meaning Daniels should have no problem stepping up into the void. Daniels was already seeing his share of the red zone targets, and is currently tied for second on the team with Pitta in red zone looks. Lots of targets and a share of volume in the red zone give Daniels a ton of upside this week.
Pittsburgh Steelers - While the Steelers defense hasn't been a stellar fantasy option this year, I expect them to thrive this week against a Buccaneers offense that will be led by Mike Glennon. Tampa Bay is tied for second in the league with seven giveaways through three games, and while Pittsburgh hasn't been particularly effective taking the ball away so far this year, this game will give them a prime chance to turn it around. The Steelers will also likely get to Glennon at least a couple of times, as the Bucs have given up seven sacks so far, and the Steelers defense has recorded six.