3 NFL Prop Bets to Target for Week 13
FanDuel Sportsbook provides a variety of lines, player props, and parlays, allowing people to showcase their knowledge.
Player props closely mirror the game of fantasy football, giving you a chance to stay involved in a familiar way. With Week 12 on the horizon, here are a few standout prop bets for Sunday's action this week.
Sammy Watkins - Over 49.5 Receiving Yards -112
With Tyreek Hill expected to play after a Week 11 hamstring scare, Sammy Watkins continues to fly under the radar in Kansas City's offense. With a receiving yardage prop set at just 49.5 yards, Watkins looks like a solid candidate to eclipse the over.
Even with Hill back in the lineup each of the last three weeks, Watkins still averaged 84 percent of Kansas City's snaps while seeing 7.3 targets per game in that span. Watkins also averages 72.4 air yards per game this season, setting him up to accumulate large chunks of yardage on any given play. Right now, our projections slate Watkins for 56.21 receiving yards, giving him almost seven yards of value on his listed prop.
This week Watkins benefits from facing the Oakland Raiders' 29th-ranked pass defense, per our schedule-adjusted metrics. Oakland has allowed 268.5 passing yards per game, which also ranks in the bottom-five this season.
With volume and matchup both on his side, Watkins looks like a solid target this weekend. Right now, a $100 bet on the over on his 49.5 receiving yardage prop nets $89.29.
LeSean McCoy - Over 35.5 Rushing Yards -112
Sticking with the Kansas City-Oakland game, LeSean McCoy stands out as a primary beneficiary of Damien Williams' injury news. With Williams already ruled out, McCoy should play a larger role alongside Darrel Williams. With a low 35.5 rushing yardage prop, the over on McCoy's rushing yards looks like a steal.
Currently projected for 52.84 rushing yards, McCoy looks likely to smash his listed rushing prop. With Williams banged up midway through Week 11, McCoy stepped up to play 40 percent of Kansas City's snaps while Darrel Williams managed only 19 percent. McCoy also out-carried Williams 7-0 and out-targeted him 6-3.
This week, McCoy faces an Oakland defense that ranks 20th in run D, per our metrics. With the Chiefs favored by 10.5 points, game script sets up for McCoy to handle elevated rushing attempts in Week 13.
Looking likely to see a big role in this high-powered KC offense, the over on McCoy's 35.5 rushing yardage prop looks like a Week 13 lock. Currently, a $100 bet on McCoy in this situation nets $89.29.
Saquon Barkley - Over 69.5 Rushing Yards -112
Slumping of late, Saquon Barkley hasn't reached 100 yards rushing in three straight games. However, with a solid matchup against the Green Bay Packers, the over on Barkley's rushing yardage prop looks a value this weekend.
Despite the slump, our projections list Barkley for 78.07 rushing yards, proving almost nine yards of value in this spot. Barkley continues to dominate rushing attempts in this backfield, averaging 16.2 rushes per game over his last five. While his yardage average sits at just 44.8 rushing yards per game in that span, Barkley remains a buy-low candidate due to volume and his big-play prowess.
As for the matchup, Barkley faces a Packers' defense that ranks 31st against the run, according to our metrics. With the Packers currently allowing 125.5 rushing yards per game (26th), Barkley should find more room to maneuver this weekend.
The over on Barkley's 69.5 rushing yardage prop provides value this weekend. Again, a $100 bet in this spot nets $89.29.