4 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 11
One of the crucial aspects of daily fantasy football is unearthing cheap production.
Our projections can help you do just that by allowing you to sort players by their point-per-dollar value. A lot of times, the top value plays come as a result of injury situations, meaning it's imperative to check inactives on Sunday morning before setting your lineups.
When looking for a salary-saving option, check out one of these players this week.
Brian Hill, RB, Falcons ($5,900)
Among players priced below $6,000 this week, Brian Hill is the top point-per-dollar value, per our models. With Devonta Freeman expected to be out and Ito Smith on IR, Hill appears poised to lead the Atlanta Falcons' backfield, with only Qadree Ollison and Kenjon Barner behind him. In Week 10, a game in which Freeman exited early, Hill accounted for every non-Freeman running back carry except for one, which went to Barner.
In short, Hill is expected to see good volume this week -- 14 carries and 4 catches going by our projections -- and lead-back volume is always going to be appealing at a $5,900 price tag.
The matchup is solid as the Carolina Panthers are a run-funnel defense, allowing the third-most FanDuel points per game to running backs. They've surrendered big games to Derrick Henry and Aaron Jones in the last two weeks. While Hill isn't of the same ilk as those two, we project him for 14.9 FanDuel points, ninth-most among all backs on the main slate, and using him makes it a lot easier to pay up elsewhere, especially if you're trying to roster Christian McCaffrey ($10,500).
Calvin Ridley, WR, Falcons ($5,500)
For the year, Hooper has accounted for an 18% target share, the second-best mark on the team. Ridley, meanwhile, has seen 15% of the targets and 24% of the air yards, per AirYards.com, and we project him to see 7.8 targets in Week 11.
The matchup against Carolina is a difficult one as they own the third-best pass D, per our schedule-adjusted numbers. But volume keeps Ridley in play here, and our models have him as the second-best point-per-dollar option among wideouts this week, trailing only Michael Thomas.
D.J. Moore, WR, Panthers ($6,000)
This is the last one from this game -- I promise.
Our projections are really into D.J. Moore this week, ranking him seventh among receivers and slotting him as the third-best point-per-dollar play.
The matchup is dreamy against a Falcons pass defense that's stunk for most of 2019. Of course, they didn't stink last week as they bottled up Drew Brees and company in the Superdome. Over a larger sample, though, this unit has been very bad -- ranking next to last both overall and versus the pass, according to our numbers. Oddsmakers aren't buying into the Falcons' win over the Saints as Carolina is a 5.5-point favorite with a 27.50-point implied total.
Moore paces the Panthers in target share (24%) and is second in air yards share (29%). He's seen 28% of the looks over the last two weeks, compared to 19% for Curtis Samuel, and Moore has gone over the 100-yard mark in each of those two games, totaling 16 receptions for 221 yards in that span.
Our projections have Moore forecasted for 12.6 FanDuel points.
James White, RB, Patriots ($6,100)
That makes this a James White game, and among backs priced below $6,500, he's the second-best point-per-dollar play (behind Hill), according to our projections.
White has offered a nice floor this season, never falling below 9.0 FanDuel points. He's got at least four catches in all but two outings, making a total of 36 grabs over the last six games. For the year, he's seen a 17% target share, though he has garnered just a 10% target share in the three games since the Pats landed Mohamed Sanu.
We project White for 6.21 targets and 41.19 receiving yards this week, and our models have him accumulating 11.2 FanDuel points.