3 NFL Prop Bets to Target for Week 10
Online Sportsbook provides a variety of lines, player props, and parlays, allowing people to showcase their knowledge.
Player props closely mirror the game of fantasy football, giving you a chance to stay involved in a familiar way. With Week 9 on the horizon, here are a few standout prop bets for Sunday's action this week.
Kyler Murray - Over 254.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Fresh off a strong performance against the San Francisco 49ers, Kyler Murray draws a far easier matchup this week versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With his passing yardage prop coming in at 254.5 yards, Murray looks like a solid target in this spot.
According to numberFire's projections, Murray projects to throw for 259.09 yards, giving him five yards of value on his prop. Playing for one of the pass-heaviest offenses in the NFL, Murray's 316 attempts ranks fifth among quarterbacks. He has also completed 64.2 percent of his passes.
Looking at our schedule-adjusted metrics, Tampa Bay ranks 24th in pass defense. However, this defense sits 31st in pass yards allowed per game (293.5) but is giving up the fewest rushing yards per game (78.1). One of the premier run defenses in football, Tampa Bay's pass-funneling D sets up well for Murray.
Between volume and matchup, Murray looks like a solid candidate to surpass 254.5 yards passing. A $100 bet on Murray in this spot nets $89.29.
Marlon Mack - Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Facing the Miami Dolphins, Marlon Mack's rushing yardage player prop comes in at 82.5. Second in the NFL in rush attempts per game (20.0), Mack's volume could see a boost with the Indianapolis Colts favored by 12.5 points. Going by our projections, Mack comes in at 90.72 rushing yards, giving him eight yards of value on his prop.
On the Dolphins' side, Miami ranks 30th in rush defense, according to our metrics. On the year, this team has allowed 150.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks 31st in the NFL. With Mack projected to handle 20.75 rushing attempts, according to our models, the over looks like a solid play. A $100 bet on Mack eclipsing 82.5 rushing yards returns $89.29.
Tyreek Hill - Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-102)
With Patrick Mahomes returning to the Kansas City Chiefs' offense, Tyreek Hill's player prop looks like a solid target at 81.5 receiving yards. Even with Matt Moore under center, Hill still recorded 216 receiving yards and touchdown across the Chiefs' last two games.
While Hill may not command elite target volume, his efficiency with Mahomes is stellar. Right now, our projections slate Hill for 86.35 receiving yards. Hill also draws a Tennessee Titans defense that is without Malcolm Butler. Ranking as a middle-of-the-pack pass defense, the Titans will be pushed to the limit by this KC passing game.
With the over/under already rising to 49.5 points, Hill looks like a great bet here. A $100 bet on Hill passing 81.5 receiving yards nets $98.04.
