4 NFL FanDuel Stacks for Week 10
On the Week 10 FanDuel main slate, there are four games projected for an implied total of 46-points or more, which could lead to several games shooting out. We also have six teams projected to score at least 26-points this week, which should lead to several high scoring players.
In this article, I will reflect my favorite DFS stacks for this week. These decisions are made by using player projections, Vegas implied team totals and player ownership projections.
The first stack I like in Week 10 consists of one of the 2019 MVP frontrunners, Lamar Jackson, stacked up with his wide receiver, Marquise (Hollywood) Brown. Per FanDuel Sportsbook, Jackson currently has the second-best odds to win the 2019 MVP, just behind Russell Wilson. Jackson has had a historic season in just his second year in the NFL, and he has a chance to build on that this week against a poor Cincinnati Bengals defense.
The Bengals are allowing 26.2 points per game – the ninth-most across the league – and rank 28th overall in total defense, per our schedule-adjusted metrics. When the Ravens played the Bengals back in Week 6, Jackson not only threw the ball for 236 yards, he also ran for 152 rushing yards and one touchdown.
With his dual-threat ability at the quarterback position, Jackson is primed to have another big day both passing and rushing the ball. We currently have him projected for 229.41 passing yards and 1.55 passing touchdowns on top of being projected for 53.55 rushing yards and 0.52 rushing touchdowns.
Stacking Jackson with Hollywood makes a lot of sense. Brown returned from injury last week against the New England Patriots and looked like his speedy self in that matchup. While he was ultimately held in check against one of the league’s best pass defenses, I don’t expect the Bengals being able to contain him this week. In the six healthy games Hollywood has played in 2019, he has been one of Jackson’s favorite targets.
Marquise Brown $5,100 on DK against one of two defenses allowing an explosive pass-play rate of at least 14% this season.
Lamar Jackson target distribution in six games with Hollywood:
Brown (43 targets)
Mark Andrews (42)
Nick Boyle (19)
Willie Snead (18)
Hayden Hurst (17)
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 7, 2019
Per PFF’s wide receiver/cornerback matchup chart, Hollywood has a 23% advantage over Bengals cornerback William Jackson III, his likely opposition. That ranks as the 13th-best matchup across all wide receiver/cornerback clashes on the main slate.
In a game in which the Ravens have a 27.50 implied total, Jackson and Brown could very well find themselves as the top scoring stack of the week against a Cincy D allowing an explosive pass-play rate of 14% this season, per Sharp Football Stats, tied for the highest clip in the league.
Arizona Cardinals/Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I’ve been a firm believer that Cardinals’ quarterback Kyler Murray is going to win a lot of people money in GPPs at some point this season, based on his upside both passing and rushing the ball. He’s in a perfect spot to do just that this week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Coming off one of his best performances in his brief NFL career last week against the San Francisco 49ers, Murray proved that he’s capable of putting up big fantasy numbers, even against the league's best defense. This week, he’ll face a Bucs D that has allowed the third-most FanDuel points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. Per our projections, we have Murray as the third-highest scoring quarterback on the main slate -- just behind Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes. At his $7,700 price point, Murray is offering the best point-per-dollar value of any quarterback this week by our numbers.
I like stacking Murray with Christian Kirk. While I think you can get creative and include Larry Fitzgerald in this mix, Kirk has a better cornerback matchup between the two receivers. Kirk is set to line up against Sean Murphy-Bunting, and he currently has a 37% advantage over him, according to PFF. That ranks fifth-best across all wide receiver/cornerback matchups. Kirk, like Murray, offers one of the best point-per-dollar values of any wide receivers this week.
The Cardinals are implied to score 23.75 points in this one. I expect a majority of those points to come through the passing game, as the Tampa Bay rushing defense is tops in the league, per our schedule-adjusted metrics.
Run this stack back with Bucs wide receiver Chris Godwin. Again, I think you can get creative here and use Mike Evans, as well, but he is expected to be shadowed by the Cardinals’ best cornerback, Patrick Peterson. While Peterson has struggled since returning to the field after his six-week suspension, he is still considered to be one of the league's better cornerbacks. Therefore, I’ll be leaning toward Godwin.
Per our projections, Godwin is currently expected to see 9.02 targets, 76.62 receiving yards and 0.56 touchdowns. We’ve seen Godwin explode multiple times this season -- topping 100-plus receiving yards in four games and scoring multiple touchdowns in two. In a game with the highest over/under on the main slate, this could turn into a shootout. If that happens, expect Godwin to play a big role in it.
I’m a big fan of the running back/defense stack. While it’s not something I’ll do every single week, that stack format makes all too much sense for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 10.
With Indy facing the Miami Dolphins at home with an over/under of 44.0.points -- the fourth-lowest on the main slate -- this should be a lower-scoring affair, especially if the Colts' starting quarterback, Jacoby Brissett, can’t play and they have to roll with Brian Hoyer. Either way, the Colts should lean on their run game, limiting the Dolphins' offensive opportunities.
Marlon Mack has one of his best matchups of the season against a Miami defense that has allowed 26.4 FanDuel points per game to opposing running backs this season, the fourth-most across the league. We currently have Mack projected to score 0.83 rushing touchdowns in Week 10, tops among running backs on the main slate.
Mack should be able to exploit this defense rather easily, especially with the offensive line he has blocking for him. Per PFF’s offensive line/defensive line matchup chart, the Colts’ offensive line has a 44% rushing advantage over Miami's defensive line. That’s the best rushing advantage of any team this week (by a significant margin). The second-best rushing advantage this week goes to the Dallas Cowboys, who have a 21% advantage of over the Minnesota Vikings.
The Dolphins are implied to score only 15.75 points, the lowest implied total of any team this week. We also have the Colts projected to score the most FanDuel points of any defense on the main slate, so this Mack/Colts D stack checks a lot of boxes.
New Orleans Saints
While this is not a traditional stack, nor is it the type of stack I typically target, this stack does make sense with certain teams in specific scenarios. One of the teams you can target with this stack format is the New Orleans Saints.
When you have a running back like Alvin Kamara, who is just as efficient in the passing game as he is the rushing game, you can roll the dice on this triple-stack knowing that his ceiling score doesn’t change based on the game script. Whether the Saints are leading or losing, you can expect Kamara to be on the field and getting touches.
However, we need to start this stack at the top with the quarterback position. Drew Brees looked exceptionally sharp in his first game back against the Cardinals. He's primed to have another exceptional game in a dream home matchup with the Atlanta Falcons.
The Saints have an implied total of 32.5 points this week -- tops on the slate -- a number they have flirted with in both of Brees' full games in this season. In those two contests, Brees has averaged 23.8 FanDuel points. He shouldn’t have any issue meeting that average this week against a Falcons defense that has allowed the second-most FanDuel points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season (23.8).
Kamara and Thomas both have positive matchups versus Atlanta and should be the biggest benefactors of the Saints meeting their implied total. We currently have Kamara projected to be in the top five of each of the following categories for running backs: rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns and targets. It’s safe to say he’s in play in all formats.
For Thomas, he’ll have one of his best matchups of the season. He’s set to line up against Falcons cornerback Isaiah Oliver, and Thomas currently has a 36% advantage over him, going by PFF's numbers. That ranks sixth-best across all wide receiver/corner matchups in Week 10.
Opportunity has never been a concern for Thomas, who has seen 89 targets through eight games this season. That ranks as the fourth-most across the league as he’s averaging 11.1 looks per game. We can expect Thomas to be targeted heavily in this game, and he has the potential to go off for 30-plus FanDuel points.
Griffin Swanson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Griffin Swanson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username GriffDogg_. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. (edited)