3 NFL Prop Bets to Target for Week 9
FanDuel Sportsbook provides a variety of lines, player props, and parlays, allowing people to showcase their knowledge.
Player props closely mirror the game of fantasy football, giving you a chance to stay involved in a familiar way. With Week 9 on the horizon, here are a few standout prop bets for Sunday's action this week.
Philip Rivers Over 286.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Ranking third overall in passing yards (2,315), Philip Rivers enters Week 9 with a matchup against the Green Bay Packers. Rivers' passing prop sits at 286.5 yards, potentially creating some value on the over in a projected high-scoring affair.
On top of the passing yardage, Rivers remains top five overall in passing attempts (305), as well. According to numberFire's projections, Rivers sits with 313.94 projected passing yards in this contest. While the Packers rank fourth in pass defense, according to our schedule-adjusted metrics, Rivers and the Chargers' pass game remains a sharp play here. With a game totaled at 48.5 points, the public seems to believe both teams will rack up points in this spot.
With -112 odds, a $100 bet on Rivers eclipsing 286.5 passing yards nets $89.29. Likely playing with game script in his favor and an increasing total, Rivers is capable of hitting the over in the spot.
Jaylen Samuels Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
While this bet remains best close to lock, Jaylen Samuels over 29.5 receiving yards looks like a smash play in this spot. A known pass-catching specialist, Samuels already has 15 targets in the Pittsburgh Steelers' offense while playing behind James Conner. The Steelers listed Conner as doubtful this week, and Benny Snell Jr. recently underwent a knee procedure, putting Samuels in line to see a majority of Pittsburgh's snaps.
Looking at this Pittsburgh backfield as a whole, Conner remains one of four running backs with at least four targets in every game played this year. Year-after-year, the Indianapolis Colts' zone-based defense, permits short passes to running backs. Last year, this Colts team allowed the second-most receptions to running backs (110). Looking at this year, the Colts recently allowed five catches to Phillip Lindsay and another five to Kansas City Chiefs backs.
Likely to absorb all of the pass-game work out of the backfield, Samuels' receiving yards prop looks like the optimal move in this spot. A $100 bet here returns $89.29.
Marquise Brown Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projected to return from a multi-week absence, Marquise Brown brings some volatility to Week 9. Formerly the Baltimore Ravens' top wide receiver, Brown might play a limited role in his return. However, Brown also averaged 8.5 targets and 109.8 air yards per game when healthy, which also remains in his range of outcomes. With a receiving prop at just 40.5, Brown has a chance to absolutely smash this mark.
Another reason for Brown's depressed receiving prop is a matchup against the New England Patriots. The Patriots easily top numberFire's pass defense ranking and continue to shut down opponents. However, volume alone should propel Brown above this prop. Our projections currently slate Brown for 45.82 receiving yards, giving him five yards of value on his player prop.
A dynamic player who is used in a variety of ways, Brown provides a bit of value here in a tough matchup. A $100 bet on Brown passing 40.5 yards nets $89.29.