The 20 Best Offensive Players From Week 6
As you know, we like math here at numberFire. Our algorithms help tell a better story about sports -- they're able to dig through the nonsense, helping us look at things that matter on the court, field or rink.
With football, we love our Net Expected Points (NEP) metric, which measures the number of points a player adds (or loses) to his team versus what he's expected to add. Rather than counting statistics like yards, touchdowns and receptions, NEP looks at down-and-distance situations and field position and relates these instances to history. When a player outperforms what's happened in the past, he sees a positive expected points value on the play. When he doesn't, his expected points value gained on the play is negative. All of these little instances add up, then, to be a player's Net Expected Points total.
You can read more about NEP in our glossary.
Using a formula that compares individual single-game performance to history, the numberFire Live platform takes this Net Expected Points formula and assigns a rating to a player's performance. Each week, that's what we'll show here -- the 20 best ratings.
Here are Week 6's results:
Player | Position | Passing NEP |
Rushing NEP |
Reception NEP |
Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefon Diggs | WR | — | 1.46 | 15.66 | 100 |
Kyler Murray | QB | 24.81 | 1.25 | — | 97 |
Matt Ryan | QB | 21.75 | -0.19 | — | 96 |
Kirk Cousins | QB | 21.77 | -1.06 | — | 94 |
Devonta Freeman | RB | — | 1.55 | 5.69 | 94 |
Chris Godwin | WR | — | — | 12.37 | 94 |
Russell Wilson | QB | 18.77 | 1.49 | — | 93 |
Tyreek Hill | WR | — | — | 11.77 | 92 |
Hunter Henry | TE | — | — | 11.23 | 90 |
James Conner | RB | — | -2.43 | 8.12 | 89 |
Deshaun Watson | QB | 13.84 | 3.06 | — | 88 |
Terry Mclaurin | WR | — | — | 10.73 | 88 |
Chris Carson | RB | — | 3.17 | 2.16 | 87 |
Austin Hooper | TE | — | — | 10.55 | 87 |
Latavius Murray | RB | — | 1.66 | 3.37 | 85 |
Lamar Jackson | QB | 3.93 | 11.70 | — | 83 |
Auden Tate | WR | — | — | 9.90 | 83 |
Adrian Peterson | RB | — | 2.56 | 1.90 | 82 |
Robby Anderson | WR | — | — | 9.66 | 81 |
Dak Prescott | QB | 11.36 | -0.77 | — | 79 |
- Stefon Diggs went berserk in Week 6, hauling in 7 of 11 targets for 167 yards and 3 touchdowns while also adding 18 rushing yards on 2 carries. Diggs saw 4 targets at least 16 yards downfield in Week 6, and he caught 2 of them for 113 yards and 2 touchdowns. He scored a third touchdown on an 11-yard catch. His quarterback -- Kirk Cousins -- blew up as well. Cousins added 21.77 Passing NEP on just 29 pass attempts.
- Kyler Murray led the week in Passing NEP (24.81) by completing 27 of 37 passes for 340 yards and 3 touchdowns. Murray also added 32 rushing yards on 11 carries. Among 37 qualified quarterbacks, Murray ranks 21st in Passing NEP per drop back this season.
- Matt Ryan ranks third among qualified passers in per-play passing efficiency, based on numberFire's metrics, and Sunday helped. Ryan completed 30 of 36 passes for 356 yards and 4 touchdowns. Ryan now has thrown for at least 300 yards in every game.
- Ryan wasn't the only Atlanta Falcon in the top five. Devonta Freeman handled 19 carries in Week 6 for 88 yards but did the bulk of his damage through the air, scoring twice and adding 30 yards on 3 targets. Freeman has had at least 3 targets in every game this year and is involved in the passing game but has a 26.3% Rushing Success Rate, 32nd among 32 running backs with at least 50 carries.