3 NFL Prop Bets to Target for Week 4
FanDuel SportsBook provides a variety of lines, player props, and parlays, allowing people to showcase their knowledge.
Player props closely mirror the game of fantasy football, giving you a chance to stay involved in a familiar way. With Week 4 on the horizon, here are a few standout prop bets for Sunday's action this week.
Baker Mayfield Over 257.5 Passing Yards (-108)
After a disappointing start to the season, FanDuel has discounted Baker Mayfield's passing yardage prop ahead of Week 4. With the line currently set at 257.5 yards, the over looks like a solid play in a bounce-back spot for Mayfield.
So far this season, Mayfield averages 268 passing yards per game. Our projections currently slate Mayfield for 272.29 passing yards in Week 4, giving him about 15 yards on value on this particular prop bet. As 7.0-point underdogs to the Baltimore Ravens, this contest sets up for Mayfield to throw.
Looking at the Ravens' defense, Baltimore ranks just 19th against the pass, according to our schedule-adjusted metrics. Likely due in part to a previous matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore has allowed the sixth-most passing yards against this year. As for Mayfield this week, Baltimore will again miss Tavon Young and Jimmy Smith, while Marlon Humphrey remains questionable. With numerous injuries throughout the Ravens' secondary, Mayfield looks like a sneaky-good play here.
In this spot, a $100 bet on Mayfield eclipsing 257.5 passing yards nets $92.59.
Wayne Gallman Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
A slightly risky prop bet to target, Wayne Gallman's 51.5 rushing yardage prop remains low. With uncertainty surrounding his usage, Gallman has a chance to smash this prop in a potential feature back role for the New York Giants.
With Saquon Barkley suffering a high-ankle sprain, Gallman looks like the primary beneficiary in this backfield. With Barkley on the shelf last week, Gallman stepped up to play every snap, while he also recorded five carries and one target. With only Elijhaa Penny and John Hilliman behind him, Gallman could see a bell-cow workload in this offense.
As for matchup, Washington currently ranks 27th in rush defense, according to our schedule-adjusted metrics. Right now, we project Gallman for 52.12 rushing yards, but this remains an ambiguous situation.
With matchup and opportunity potentially lining up in this one, hitting the over on Gallman's 51.5 rushing yardage prop provides value. A $100 bet on Gallman in this spot returns $89.29.
Josh Jacobs Under 81.5 Total Yards (-118)
With a rushing prop of 68.5, Josh Jacobs total yardage prop comes in at 81.5 yards. This implies Jacobs for 13 receiving yards, a skill he has not yet shown in the NFL.
Through three games, Jacobs has one reception for 28 yards on three targets. Playing from behind in their last two games, Jacobs routinely lost snaps to DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard in the pass game. Right now, Richard has six targets on the year and Washington has two. Currently, the Raiders find themselves as 7.0-point, road underdogs to the Indianapolis Colts. This suggests Jacobs could take a backseat again in Week 4 with the Raiders playing from behind.
Right now, our projections peg Jacobs for 77.93 total yards on Sunday. Despite a solid matchup against a 26th-ranked Colts run defense, Jacobs is a tough sell in this contest unless the Oakland Raiders manage to get a lead.
Right now, a successful $100 bet on the under on Jacobs' prop of 81.5 total yards nets $84.75