In FantasyFootballCalculator.com, a place he hasn't finished - prior to last year - since tearing up his knee in 2008.
Is this warranted, or is Tom Brady truly undervalued?
The Receiving Talent
One of the first things to look at from the 2013 campaign was just how much Four Patriots finished in the top-25 in drops last year, with Edelman recording eight and Kenbrell Thompkins, FantasyFootballCalculator.com's average draft position (ADP) numbers and numberFire’s own 2014 projections, this is how the top quarterbacks stack up:
| numberFire Rank | Player | Projected Fantasy Points | ADP Rank (Among QBs) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew Brees | 378.55 | 3 |
| 2 | Peyton Manning | 362.34 | 1 |
| 3 | Aaron Rodgers | 360.61 | 2 |
| 4 | Cam Newton | 309.74 | 10 |
| 5 | Andrew Luck | 307.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Matthew Stafford | 306.69 | 4 |
| 7 | Matt Ryan | 300.85 | 9 |
| 8 | Tom Brady | 296.94 | 8 |
| 9 | Russell Wilson | 296.44 | 15 |
| 10 | Phillip Rivers | 292.11 | 14 |
| 11 | Nick Foles | 290.22 | 13 |
| 12 | Robert Griffin III | 285.05 | 7 |
| 13 | Jay Cutler | 284.56 | 13 |
| 14 | Tony Romo | 283.22 | 12 |
There's just too much value in quarterbacks going after Brady that the risk of another down year just isn’t worth it. There are seven quarterbacks being drafted, on average, after Tom Brady that are projected to either outscore him, or finish within one fantasy point per game of him. Picking Brady in the sixth round when someone like Russell Wilson, projected to put up very similar fantasy numbers, is available nearly four full rounds later isn't a smart use of a draft pick. And it's not getting the kind of value you need to win your fantasy league.