4 NFL FanDuel Stacks for Week 4
Four weeks in, we’re starting to get a better understanding of who each quarterbacks favorite targets are, how teams are calling plays and how offenses match up against opposing defenses.
Patrick Mahomes has been a staple in lineups every single week, in both DFS and season-long leagues. He has another great matchup this week against the Detroit Lions and will be a player to target in your lineups once again.
Daniel Jones made his NFL debut as the starting quarterback for the New York Giants last week, and he absolutely ripped it up. He’ll have quite a few people chasing him this week after such a performance, and rightfully so, as he’s in another smash spot against Washington.
In this article, I will reflect my favorite DFS stacks for this week. These decisions are made by using player projections, Vegas implied team totals and player ownership projections.
New York Giants
I never thought I’d be writing up the New York Giants this early in season. Yet, here we are, four weeks into the regular season discussing what some are calling the Giants savior, Daniel Jones.
Jones made his NFL debut last week and led the team to their first win of the season. He did so by throwing for 336 yards and two touchdowns while scoring two rushing touchdowns, as well. While I don’t expect him to keep up with that type of rushing production, he’s in another great spot this week to continue his passing production.
He’ll face Washington at home this week, which has a defense that is allowing 0.44 Adjusted Defense Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per drop back, the second-worst across the entire league. This defense has allowed for Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott and Mitchell Trubisky to combine for 880 passing yards and nine touchdowns through their first three games of this season.
Jones will have every opportunity to excel this week in a game the Giants are favored to win by 2.5 points at home.
Stacking up Jones with his tight end, Evan Engram, makes sense this week. Engram has established himself as an early top-three tight end this season in the mix with Travis Kelce and George Kittle. He showed an immediate connection with Jones last week, catching six of eight targets for 113 receiving yards and one touchdown. Engram could see even more targets this week, as the Giants will be looking to fill the void from losing star running back Saquon Barkley.
We currently have Engram projected as the second-best tight end on the Week 4 FanDuel main slate, and he’s forecasted to see 9.29 targets. With sneaky shootout potential in this game, his number of targets could go beyond that.
Los Angeles Rams
I’m going back to the Jared Goff-Cooper Kupp stack again here in Week 4, similar to the way I did back in Week 2. As I mentioned in Week 2, Goff is a much better quarterback when he’s playing at home, compared to when playing on the road. His game elevates even further when Cooper Kupp is out on the field.
Since the two started playing with one another back in 2017, Goff’s statistics are significantly better when Kupp is playing versus when Kupp is not playing. FantasyPros analyst Mike Tagliere pointed out this summer that Kupp may just be the most important player on this Rams team:
Many have talked about what Todd Gurley means for Jared Goff's production, but I'd argue that Cooper Kupp means more to it. Here's Goff's splits with/without Kupp. #Rams pic.twitter.com/sVCJTzf6l8
— Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL) June 4, 2019
When Kupp does play, Goff is averaging 70 more yards passing and 0.63 more touchdowns per game than he does sans Kupp. The wideout has been a safety valve for Goff and the Rams' offense, similar to the way Julian Edelman is to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots.
Kupp is a fringe WR1 (top-12) going forward if he continues producing the way he has to start this season. He’s had back-to-back 100-yard receiving games, and he’s racked up a total of 21 targets in that span. Per PFF, he’s projected to have 6% ownership on FanDuel this week, which would be a steal for a player of his caliber and opportunity.
On top of all that, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been stingy against the run this year. We currently have them ranked as the sixth-best run defense in the league. This will only benefit Goff and Kupp, as the Rams should look to win through the passing game.
Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks
One of my favorite games this week is between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks. This game is currently projected to have the fourth-highest over/under in Week 4 and has shootout written all over it.
There are several ways to stack this game with multiple players, but my favorite stack is with Kyler Murray and Christian Kirk, while running it back with two pass catchers from the Seahawks.
Starting with Murray and Kirk, this duo continues to get better with every single game. It’s evident that Murray is looking for Kirk or Larry Fitzgerald on most his passing plays, as the two have combined for 62 targets to start this season -- 45% of Murray’s passing attempts.
While I like Fitzgerald this week, as well, Kirk is the guy I’ll be targeting for the Cardinals. His 4.47 second 40-yard dash speed is going to cause problems for the Seattle defense. We saw Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver John Ross torture this defense with his speed back in Week 1, when he had seven catches, 158 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Kirk should have every opportunity to do the same.
I like running this stack back with Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf and tight end Will Dissly. Metcalf is due for a breakout game as the number-two wide receiver for the Seahawks. We’ve seen him use his crazy athletic ability at times throughout the first three games of his NFL career, but he has not pieced together a full game just yet. He’ll have that opportunity this week against a poor Arizona D. We currently have the Cardinals' passing defense ranked as the sixth-worst unit in the NFL.
Dissly has a great matchup, too, against this susceptible Cardinals pass defense, one that has allowed the most fantasy points to tight ends to start the 2019 season. We saw T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews and Greg Olsen all dominate against the Cardinals through the first three games as that trio combined for 20 receptions, 318 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Dissly has the opportunity to improve on an already impressive start to his 2019 season.
Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions
The final stack I want discuss for Week 4 is a game stack between the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions. This game is currently projected to be the highest-scoring game in Week 4, with an over/under of 54.5 points.
This will be the first time in Mahomes' career that he's played a regular season game indoors. He played one preseason game indoors versus the Atlanta Falcons back in 2018, and in that one, he casually tossed a 70-yard touchdown pass to Tyreek Hill:
So this happened literally the only time Patrick Mahomes has played an NFL game indoors lmao pic.twitter.com/n21UHaqjC5
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) September 25, 2019
While that’s a very small sample size to go off of, I think it’s safe to say we can be comfortable rostering Mahomes in any situation.
Mahomes is currently projected to be the highest-scoring quarterback in Week 4, per our projections. He’s the only quarterback we have projected for more than 300 yards passing, and our models also have him pegged to account for 2.62 touchdown passes.
Stack him up with his wide receiver, Sammy Watkins, this week. We currently have Watkins projected to score 14.7 FanDuel points, the third-most of any wide receiver on the main slate. He also ranks second in point-per-dollar value, behind only Christian Kirk. Sammy should be the primary target for Mahomes this week, as the Lions could look to put double-coverage on Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce -- similar to the way they did with Philadelphia Eagles tight end Zach Ertz the week before.
You can run this stack back with Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay. As 6.5-point underdogs in this matchup, the Lions will likely be playing from behind most of this game, which should lead to more passing plays. Golladay could feast on those opportunities against a Kansas City defense that ranks in the bottom-10, per our schedule-adjusted numbers.
Facing a weak defense and with game script likely working in his favor, Golladay is set to smash this week against the Chiefs.
Griffin Swanson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Griffin Swanson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username GriffDogg_. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. (edited)