NFL Survivor Pool Best Bets: Week 13

I’m A Survivor: Maximize Your Winnings Week 13

Most people, when picking for their eliminator pool, just pick the team with the best chance to win that week. The best way to maximize your chances of winning, however, is to make a decision based on what teams other people are picking. If 75% of the population is picking the top game, you stand to gain from picking the second best option. That way, even though both teams are likely to win, if the top team is upset (see: Patriots, Week 2), 75% of the pool has been eliminated and you are still standing. Using every possible combination of game outcomes for the week (65,000+), we tell you who maximizes your potential gains.

Week 13's Top Picks

Green Bay over Minnesota (71.9% Win Probability)
The Packers line is banged up and the Giants exploited their weaknesses on Sunday Night, but Aaron Rodgers still leads the NFC’s best passing attack. Minnesota should have their hands full.

New England over Miami (71.9% Win Probability)
The Patriots downright embarrassed the Jets on Thanksgiving and get the opportunity to repeat that feat against another division foe. Miami will not be able to stop the league’s best passing offense and AFC’s top rushing offense, both of which belong to New England.

Houston over Tennessee (70.2% Win Probability)
The Texans eked out a win over the Lions thanks to a Jim Schwartz challenge flag. Houston owns the best defense in the AFC and with the Titans firing their offensive coordinator, the Texans should dominate.

This week’s most picked teams:
1. Denver Broncos over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (18.1%)
2. Buffalo Bills over Jacksonville Jaguars (10.3%)
3. Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns (9.6%)

Who to pick

Green Bay Packers (70.1 adjusted win odds)
Most people have undoubtedly picked the Packers, Patriots and Texans. The next best option would be the Lions over the Colts.

Full Adjusted Win Odds (Based on population picks)