FanDuel Single-Game Fantasy Helper: Week 17 Sunday Night
With the FanDuel main slate ending after the afternoon games, single-game slates allow DFS enthusiasts to stay involved through the evening. For those unfamiliar, single-game slates feature five flex spots with identical scoring to the main slate. However, kickers are included in these contests and there is an "MVP" roster slot. The MVP receives 1.5-times his total fantasy points, making this spot crucial.
Bookmakers currently peg the Colts as 3-point favorites, with a 44-point over/under. While this game may lack in scoring, the playoff implications are sure to make this contest competitive. With that said, here are Sunday night's notable plays.
Andrew Luck ($17,000): Playing fantasy's highest-scoring position, Andrew Luck has a big edge over Blaine Gabbert, who is expected to start for an injured Marcus Mariota. While he will surely come with elevated ownership, Luck looks nearly impossible to avoid in this spot. Despite the Tennessee Titans ranking 13th in overall defense, per our schedule adjusted metrics, they will be without Logan Ryan, Jurrell Casey, and Brian Orakpo, helping Luck's outlook. The Indianapolis Colts' signal caller currently ranks sixth in passing yards (4,308) behind an offensive line that has allowed the league's fewest sacks (17). While chalky, Luck remains the strongest play on the board.
T.Y. Hilton ($13,000): Luck's preferred stacking partner, T.Y. Hilton, expects to play despite barely practicing within the last month. Even while injured, Hilton has averaged 10.75 targets across his last four games while seeing a massive 505 air yards. Hilton's matchup also looks enticing without Logan Ryan. While Ryan primarily defends the slot, Hilton runs 15.4% of his routes from the slot, and he should be heavily involved.
Marlon Mack ($11,500): Since returning from his early season hamstring injury, Marlon Mack has reclaimed his position as the Colts' primary running back. Mack has touch counts of 9, 14, 28, and 13 in the past four weeks. The Titans rank 17th in run defense, per our metrics, and will now play without Casey and Orakpo on their defensive line. With Indianapolis favored by 3.0 points, game script should work in Mack's favor.
Corey Davis ($10,000): Projected to play from behind, the Titans should feature Corey Davis against a Colts defense that ranks 24th versus the pass, according to our metrics. Davis has averaged only five targets per game over his last four contests, with the Titans winning and controlling game script in all of them. With a potential elevated target share due to game script and playing in a plus-matchup, Davis warrants consideration as a contrarian MVP play even with Gabbert likely at the controls.
Dion Lewis ($8,500): With Tennessee a 3.0-point underdog, game script also favors Dion Lewis this week. With Derrick Henry taking the lead down the stretch, Lewis' touches have declined (15, 10, 6) in each of the past three games. However, Lewis has remained the preferred pass catcher, out-targeting Henry 12-2 in that same span. If the Colts jump out to a quick lead, Lewis should be the preferred play in this spot.
Taywan Taylor ($8,000): Since returning from a multi-week injury, Taywan Taylor has played a major role in the Titans' offense. In his last four weeks, Taylor has seen only one fewer target than Corey Davis has (21-20), and he has dwarfed Davis in air yards (355-176). The Colts' 24th-ranked pass defense coupled with Taylor's strong down-field ability, gives Taylor a high ceiling.
Nyheim Hines ($8,000): While the Colts have turned to Mack as their focal point in the run game, Nyheim Hines has quietly played on 42%, 40%, and 34% of Indy's snaps the past three weeks. In this span, Hines has target counts of 5,6, and 5, playing primarily in passing situations. In the off chance than Indianapolis falls behind on Sunday night, Hines could see elevated usage against an injured Titans' front. He offers a strong pivot off Mack and should come at far lower ownership.
Chester Rogers ($7,500): The Colts have rotated number-two receivers throughout the season, but Chester Rogers appears to have earned that role for the time being. Rogers snaps have increased each of the last three weeks (37%, 51%, and 69%). He also tied for the second-most targets on Indy in Week 16 (seven), showing his growing role within the offense. Unlike Hilton, Rogers has run 84.7% of his routes from the slot, giving him the best chance to benefit from Logan Ryan's absence. Rogers is one of the strongest salary-saving options on the entire slate.
Matthew Gajewski is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Matthew Gajewski also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mgajewski. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.