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5 Vegas Betting Trends to Help Set Your Week 13 Daily Fantasy Football Lineup

Alex Smith and the slumping Chiefs are road favorites against the Jets, but the line has moved against Kansas City. How should that impact the way we treat the Chiefs and Jets this week?

It's no secret that Vegas totals and spreads can be helpful when making fantasy football decisions -- especially in daily fantasy games.

Unfortunately, as professional NFL handicapper Warren Sharp has pointed out, Vegas' primary goal is not to set the most accurate lines -- Vegas' goal is to make money, and they do that by encouraging public action on a particular side. What does that mean?

Let’s say Vegas opens the line on a game with Team X favored to beat Team Y by 7 points. If 80% of the public money coming in is in favor of Team X against the spread but Vegas still does not adjust the line, that demonstrates that either there is sharp money on Team Y or that Vegas feels confident about Team Y against the spread. Either way, by examining how Vegas is moving lines in comparison to where the public is betting, we can potentially gain an edge when making lineup decisions.

Note: Current line information is contained on our DFS Heat Map page, and other betting numbers are pulled from SportsInsights.

New England Patriots (-8.5) at Buffalo Bills (O/U 48.5)

Betting Trends: The New England Patriots look to continue their winning ways as they take on their division rival Buffalo Bills for the first time this season. The public is all over New England with 81% of tickets against the spread coming in on the Patriots. However, reverse line movement is impacting this game, as New England has moved from -9.0 at the open to the current line of -8.5. This is a clear sign of sharp action on Buffalo.


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