The PPR Waiver Report - Fantasy Football Week 7
So maybe I've neglected the PPR leagues a little bit. So much focus is placed on the standard fantasy leagues that the guys who take a bit of a risk with their league are neglected. Well, I support the risk takers. I support the Felix Baumgartners who hurl out of the stratosphere and land in an odd place where Percy Harvin has more value than Arian Foster. I support the brave souls who can stare Marshawn Lynch in the face and say, "Not today, sir. I support Darren Sproles." I support any league that had Danny Amendola as a top player for a solid quarter of the season. You're my kind of people.
So this week, I'm going to throw the PPR leagues a lifeline. Here are four players you should pick up only if you're in a PPR league. Since there aren't statistics on who is owned in how many PPR leagues, the "Leagues Owned" percentage here will be from all ESPN leagues, standard or otherwise. But these guys are absolutely worth a pick up for PPR players to go along with the six pickups from earlier today.
Top 4 PPR Waiver Pickups for Week 7
RB Cedric Peerman - Cincinnati Bengals
Week 6 Fantasy Points (PPR): 15
Leagues Owned: 0.1%
When Bernard Scott went on IR for the season, everyone figured that Cedric Peerman might see a bit of playing time. Brian Leonard was the only other option behind BenJarvus Green-Ellis, and he was (and still is) dealing with a rib injury. Naturally, Peerman was next in line. But nobody expected this.
Seeing legitimate duty for the first time all season, Peerman was targeted an incredible eight times by Andy Dalton on Sunday, finishing second on the team behind A.J. Green. Even better for fantasy owners, Peerman caught every single one of those balls, not letting his six weeks on the bench applying superglue to his hands go to waste. He only had a long of 16 yards, but with how many times Dalton felt content to dump the ball off in his direction, those long catches were more than made up for through his fantasy points via catches.
Is he a one-week wonder? At this point, it's hard to tell. The Bengals have not used backs in a passing formation much so far this season; the Law Firm has only had 12 targets all season, and Leonard has only had five. But as long as Peerman remains solidified in the Bengals' third-down role and Leonard is banged up, Peerman is absolutely worth the flier to see what comes of the situation.
RB Danny Woodhead - New England Patriots
Week 6 Fantasy Points (PPR): 11
Leagues Owned: 15.6%
Not enough room in the New England backfield, you say? Well, they might be crammed in the back seat with Stevan Ridley taking up way too much space, but Danny Woodhead has one way to make himself comfortable: receptions.
The Patriots have not thrown much out of the backfield this season: only 10.8% of Tom Brady's throws have gone to his backfield mates. However, with Woodhead becoming progressively more involved in the offense, that percentage seems to be shifting upwards. After Woodhead's five catches on five targets against the Seahawks, Woodhead now has 10 catches on 10 total targets on the season. For those who can't do the quick 10/10 division, that's a perfect 100% catch rate for the back. Even better, eight of those catches have come in New England's past three games, meaning that his looks are trending upwards. Woodhead has also amassed at least 20 yards receiving in each of the past three weeks, capped off by his 46-yard performance this past week.
And don't look now, but the schedule looks a bit easier than this past week's Seattle game. The Jets' #22 opponent-adjusted defense comes into town next, followed by a Rams team that just allowed Reggie Bush his most receptions and receiving yards since Week 1. Then, following a bye, the Patriots get two defenses in numberFire's bottom five: Indianapolis and Buffalo. If Woodhead is available now, he might not be the next time you want to pick him up.
WR Davone Bess - Miami Dolphins
Week 6 Fantasy Points (PPR): 10
Leagues Owned: 9.7%
Well, it looks like this Bess trend isn't going to end any time soon. Might as well hop on board while you can.
For all of the talk about Brian Hartline so far this season, Bess might actually be Ryan Tannehill's favorite target. If you take out Hartline's outlier game - his 253 yards and 19 targets against Arizona - Bess is actually beating him on both targets (35 to 33) and receptions (21 to 17) so far this season. In each of the past two weeks, Bess has led the Dolphins in targets, getting six looks in Week 5 and nine looks in Week 6. Meanwhile, Brian Hartline against the Rams put up the old goose egg: zero receptions on zero targets on the game. The Rams intended to neutralize him, and it worked, but it also had the unintended effect of springing Bess.
Bess and his league-average 60% catch rate should be able to get some room in the future as well. He's on a bye this week, but face the #22 opponent-adjusted defense Jets, then three straight bottom five defenses in Indianapolis, Tennessee, and Buffalo. I don't usually recommend players going onto a bye week, but if he's available (or if somebody drops him due to that bye week), I would not take a risk on trying to grab him next week.
WR Santana Moss - Washington Redskins
Week 6 Fantasy Points (PPR): 8
Leagues Owned: 10.4%
Early on in the season, I was absolutely mortified at the prospect of trying to pick out a Redskins receiver. Among Aldrick Robinson, Leonard Hankerson, Pierre Garcon, and others, it seemed like every single receiver was having at least one day in the sun. Over the past couple of weeks, however, the Redskins seem to have finally settled into a groove with their starters. And the main name to know is a blast from the past.
Moss does not have the big receiving yardage numbers one would expect from a top-flight back; his 13.9 yards per catch average is only third among Redskins receivers. However, especially in the past couple of weeks, the receptions and targets certainly have been there. In week 6, Moss tied for the team lead with four targets, as Griffin threw the ball only 22 times. That means 18% of the balls RGIII threw went Moss's way. In week 5, he was third on the team behind Fred Davis and Pierre Garcon with 5 targets, but that percentage was even higher: 21% of RGIII's passes went to Moss. On the season, Moss's 23 total targets is now third on the team, seven behind Davis and two behind Leonard Hankerson. He also has both of those guys beat with an outrageous for a receiver 70% catch rate. If he gets the targets, he'll convert them.
And he'll likely get his opportunities in the coming weeks as well. In the three weeks before Washington's week 10 bye, the Skins do not play a single opponent-adjusted defense higher than #14 (New York Giants) in numberFire's current opponent-adjusted rankings. If he's going to bust out, it's going to happen soon.