NFL Playoffs: Each Team's Postseason Probability Prior to the Season
Despite the fact that we see a lot of the same teams in the NFL playoffs each year, there's also a good bit of turnover. And that makes predicting the NFL playoffs each year difficult.
This season was no different, especially when you consider the injuries sustained to big-time players and the breakouts by first-year guys. Combine that with a small-sampled, 16-game schedule, and you're bound for some variance.
If you're curious, here's a quick look at the playoff probabilities our algorithm assigned to each playoff team entering the 2016 season. For reference,
|Team||Preseason Playoff Probability||NFL Rank|
|New England Patriots||65.40%||3rd|
|Kansas City Chiefs||59.60%||6th|
|Green Bay Packers||57.50%||7th|
|New York Giants||33.80%||15th|
On the flip side, the algorithm didn't love the Oakland Raiders, Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, and Miami Dolphins. Currently, the Falcons and Cowboys rank second and third, respectively, in our power rankings.