Fantasy Football Mailbag: Friday 9/2/16
Fantasy football research never stops, and offseason news can really complicate things, especially when coaches talk up second- and third-string players. That's where our fantasy football mailbag comes into play.
Have a question about a certain player, team, draft strategy, or anything football? Shoot us a question on Twitter or send an email to Jim.Sannes@FanDuel.com, and we can talk anything fantasy football related -- even daily fantasy football.
Now, let's answer some questions.
@numberFire I drafted Lamar Miller over J-Charles in a PPR not knowing Charles was available.. How bad did I mess up? 12 team
— Matt (@Power5758) September 1, 2016
Yesterday, numberFire's Brandon Gdula spit some hit fire on Jamaal Charles and spelled out why we should still be in love with this guy. Charles is amazing, and he should be a deity for fantasy this year. But so, too, could Lamar Miller.
Miller played for a Miami Dolphins team last year that was generally not good, had a dumpster fire of an offensive line, and refused to use him heavily the first few weeks of the season. He still finished fifth in half-PPR scoring among all running backs, according to FantasyData.com. Dude is silly good.
Now, he inherits a largely superior situation with the Houston Texans. They finished last year with the third-ranked defense overall, according to numberFire's metrics, meaning they should see more positive game flow than Miller had with the Dolphins. That leads to more carries as a running back, and Miller got fewer than 10 of those in six of his games last season. It's hard to understate how good his situation is in Houston.
There are really only two question marks with Miller now. First, we don't really know how good of a quarterback Brock Osweiler will be, and we need to pair our running backs with efficient passers in order to maximize their touchdown potential. To that end, though, it's not as if Ryan Tannehill was an efficiency monster, helping provide a bit of a relief there.
Second, the offensive line worries have followed Miller to Houston. They've already lost projected starting center Nick Martin for the season, and left tackle Duane Brown is not likely to be ready for Week 1. That is a bigger concern for Miller's value than Osweiler, and it's one we shouldn't disregard.
The advantage for Miller is the floor that his projected involvement in the passing game allows. Even if the Texans do wind up lacking a bit up front, he should still get enough targets to be a worthwhile fantasy asset. That's why he's worthy of being selected early, and it's why you shouldn't feel bad at all about the selection of him over Charles.
If Charles were fully healthy, he'd be the clear top choice over Miller. But with how things are right now, this pick is absolutely and fully justifiable.
@numberFire i got the 3rd pick in my draft tomorrow night shuld i take cam newton dak prescott ezekiel elliott antonio brown ted ginn or
— Dougie Freshie (@DougieFreshiie) September 2, 2016
Whoa, Dougie. You're making a pretty reckless assumption in thinking that Ted Ginn Jr. will be available at the third overall pick. Might need to haul this one in just a bit.
All jokes aside, Dougie Freshie does bring up an interesting point, and we should probably be drafting Ginn, as frustrating as he may be. Everybody loves Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess, but they may not even get on the field as often as Ginn this year.
Cam Newton played 46 snaps Friday night. WR snaps: Ted Ginn 41, Kelvin Benjamin 34, Funchess 25, Bersin 19, Norwood 13. Philly Brown DNP.
— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) August 28, 2016
By the end of the year, Funchess could absolutely wind up out-snapping Ginn. But for right now, we should be a bit worried about Funchess, and we need to give Ginn more love. Just being on the field has value for fantasy football, especially when you've got a quarterback as good as Cam Newton slinging it your direction.
So, Dougie, if Ginn's there at third overall, there are worse picks you could make. When deciding between Julio Jones and Ted Ginn, you know what to do.
Want to have your questions answered in our mailbag? Submit your questions by tweeting @numberFire or sending an email to Jim.Sannes@FanDuel.com.