written by Leo Howell on Aug 11th, 2014
Follow them at @LeoHowell8

Blind Résumés: Using Math to Compare Fantasy Football Quarterbacks

Let's take a look behind the numbers at just how similar some fantasy football quarterbacks are, and consider the value of each player.

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Here at numberFire, we base most of what we do in regards to the NFL on our Net Expected Points (NEP) metric. Even our fantasy football projections and advice come from this all-encompassing metric for players.

But NEP is ultimately a "real football" statistic, and requires context and logic to be useful in fantasy football. Unless you're in a "point per NEP" league (and if you are, contact me), you need more than just a measure of a player's efficiency and production to make fantasy football decisions.

But production and efficiency are two elements of a good football player, and good football players often see the field more often than bad ones (in most cases...). Being on the field more often leads to opportunity and reliability week-to-week, two other key elements of fantasy football success.

With that in mind, let's take a look at some blind resumes and consider if any players should be valued differently based on their statistical profile when considering their situation as a whole. All of the data in the tables in this article are based on 2013 performance.

We'll begin with the quarterbacks.

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In This Article

Aaron Rodgers
QB, Green Bay Packers

Alex Smith
QB, Kansas City Chiefs

Andy Dalton
QB, Cincinnati Bengals

Cam Newton
QB, Carolina Panthers

Carson Palmer
QB, Arizona Cardinals

Ryan Fitzpatrick
QB, New York Jets

Robert Griffin III
QB, Cleveland Browns

Nick Foles
QB, Los Angeles Rams

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