5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 13
Pay up for Goff in a Blowout
An exceedingly positive game-script is not always thought of as a good thing for passers. Sitting on a lead allows teams to run the ball and play conservatively. This is code for, "Quarterbacks score fewer points."
For a team to get a substantial lead, their quarterback almost certainly has to be playing well. So, when Vegas has the Rams as 10.0-point favorites over the Detroit Lions (stay up to date with line movement using numberFire's heat map), they are telling us that Goff will likely be playing well. At $8,400, Goff is the best value in numberFire's DFS projections this week.