5 NFL Red Zone Trends to Monitor for Week 11

Expect More Red Zone Snaps for the Jets

The New York Jets' offense is bad -- that much is clear. Our models have them as the league's 30th-ranked unit, and they rank only 26th with 19.7 points per game.

That being said, even a terrible team can run below expectation, and that's what has been happening with the Jets in the red zone over their last few games. They ran two red zone snaps in Week 10, one in Week 9, two in Week 8 and five in Week 7. For context on how egregious 2.5 such snaps per game is -- nobody in the league is averaging fewer than 5.0 on the year.

What that means is that, even if the Jets offense continue to struggle, there's going to be a significant increase in red zone work coming.

Over those last four weeks, Isaiah Crowell and Chris Herndon have seen the most encouraging workloads.

Combined, there have only been three rush attempts, but two of those belonged to Crowell. He also has 48% of the team's red zone carries on the year (and 69.6% of the red zone carries that didn't go to Bilal Powell, who is now on IR), so we can expect him to continue to get the bulk of the scoring chances on the ground.

The last four weeks have also included five targets in the passing game, with three of those going to Herndon. He played a largely insignificant role in the offense to start the year, so his target market share sits at only 16.7% inside the 20, but the recent increase is encouraging.

It's also worth noting that, despite missing some time due to injury, Quincy Enunwa has accounted for just shy of 30% of the team's red zone looks (a team-high), so even with the missing volume in recent games, he too should get a boost in touchdown upside as the offense's red zone opportunities bounce back.

The Jets have a bye in Week 11, but in the final five weeks of the fantasy season, their entire offense should see a boost from what they've shown us in recent games.