5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 6

Don't Fade Zeke as an Underdog

Underdog running backs are typically a risky investment, but that has never fazed Ezekiel Elliott.

This is good news as Zeke and the Dallas Cowboys are 3-point dogs (keep up with line movement throughout the week using the DFS Heatmap) against Jacksonville this week. The most important thing to gather from this split is that a slight loss of rushing volume (minus 3.4 carries) is mostly offset by a bump in targets (plus 1.1).

Zeke accounts for 71.5% of Dallas' rush attempts and 20.1% of the team's targets, and both marks are top-10 in the league. Win or lose, he'll be heavily involved. At $8,200, he's projected as the best value in numberFire's DFS models.